The Etp Model Has Been Empirically Confirmed

Discussion in 'The Cesspool' started by Futilitist, Aug 24, 2015.

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  1. Futilitist This so called forum is a fraud... Registered Senior Member

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    I have been right the whole time, Russ. And now reality is moving *WAY* too fast for you to keep up. Your lame peak oil denier crap won't work anymore.

    You sound desperate.

    I think you are scared.

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    WTIC is currently $28.48!!!



    ---Futilitist

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    Last edited: Jan 19, 2016
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  3. exchemist Valued Senior Member

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    Who gives a toss about fracking? It is a pimple on the arse of global oil production. ~5% - see pie chart here: http://www.climatecentral.org/news/tight-with-oil-us-crude-10-percent-of-global-supply-17238

    Its rise and fall may give the US a bit of a bump, but it is silly to think it can shake the economy of the world.
     
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  5. Russ_Watters Not a Trump supporter... Valued Senior Member

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    Lol, so now you are also wrong about being right....or is it right about being wrong? We'll leave that to the philosophers.
     
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  7. Russ_Watters Not a Trump supporter... Valued Senior Member

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    Because of elasticity, small changes in supply can have a huge impact on price. Previously OPEC would have absorbed it, but they've decided that 10% of total is too much and is something they are unwilling to absorb.
     
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  8. exchemist Valued Senior Member

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    Sure. What I meant was that fracking disappearing (for a while) is, contrary to Fute's hysteria, not going to crash the global economy. It employs far too few people and involves far too little investment.

    As I see it, the only real downside to cheap oil is the risk that inflation goes -ve in some countries, since deflation has a bad effect on economic sentiment.
     
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  9. krash661 [MK6] transitioning scifi to reality Valued Senior Member

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    it is as simple as-- quit twisting your own words that were/have been shown that you are with your own words.
    in other words--quit twisting your own words that it is massively obvious that you are, no matter what you continue too tell yourself..
     
  10. Russ_Watters Not a Trump supporter... Valued Senior Member

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    Oh, righ, yeah, we'recommend on the same page.
    I also still think Saudi Arabia has something up their sleeve as well.
     
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  11. krash661 [MK6] transitioning scifi to reality Valued Senior Member

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    which is why i said " in a sense the thoughts should be-- why is iran increasing production when they know very well it will cause prices to drop even further-- it is like why would they want the price to drop even further. "
     
  12. origin Heading towards oblivion Valued Senior Member

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    Now it is $40.97.

    Does that agree with EPT model or has the model been refuted?

    It also looks like the stock market didn't crash and the 4 horsemen of the apocalypse didn't arrive yet.
     
  13. Beer w/Straw Transcendental Ignorance! Valued Senior Member

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    I demand lower gas prices!
     
  14. origin Heading towards oblivion Valued Senior Member

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    Me too! I was hoping Futilitist was right - uh, not the apocalypse part the lower oil prices part...
     
  15. exchemist Valued Senior Member

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    I think Fute will keep schtum for the next few months now.

    He only pops up, salivating, when he thinks he has read about some really bad economic news.

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  16. Futilitist This so called forum is a fraud... Registered Senior Member

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    The Etp model forecasts that oil prices could reach as high as about $65 this year, though I seriously doubt that will happen. So, yes, the Etp model is in agreement with the current oil price. And no, the model has not been refuted in any way.

    Soon.

    I am pretty sure you are about to get them.

    I am right about both.

    Wrong. I read really bad economic news every day. I just checked back in after some time away to find this thread was active again. I am glad this important topic generates so much interest.

    It is a quiet Easter weekend. The oil and stock markets are closed. They open (after 3 days off) on Monday morning. Which way do you think they will go?



    ---Futilitist

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    Last edited: Mar 28, 2016
  17. Beer w/Straw Transcendental Ignorance! Valued Senior Member

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    What about that show: Ancient Aliens.

    Will they come back and save us from the apocalypse?
     
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  18. exchemist Valued Senior Member

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    This topic generates humour. At your expense, Fute. That's all.
     
  19. origin Heading towards oblivion Valued Senior Member

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    That is one hell of a model he has got there. The model apparently says oil prices will be between $10 and $65! Hard to be wrong with that range.

    I have a model of the weather. The predictive power rivals what meteorologist can do today; they cannot even predict accurately the weather more than 10 - 15 days out. My model can tell you the weather of any day in the next year! For instance, in my area on July 13 the high will be between 50F and 105F. That is not all, it also predicts that it will either rain or not rain.

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  20. origin Heading towards oblivion Valued Senior Member

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    From Oct. 2 2015
    So I guess all I can say is "Hardy-Har-Har".

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  21. krash661 [MK6] transitioning scifi to reality Valued Senior Member

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    ahh-- a change-up now.

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    (shakes head)-- comical.
     
  22. Russ_Watters Not a Trump supporter... Valued Senior Member

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    They've been delayed by the heavy traffic caused by lower gas prices and a growing economy.
     
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  23. Russ_Watters Not a Trump supporter... Valued Senior Member

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    Where can I read more details about this new prediction?
     
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