Is free will possible in a deterministic universe?

Discussion in 'General Philosophy' started by Sarkus, Jun 7, 2019.

  1. Write4U Valued Senior Member

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    Perhaps theoretically as a way to reconstruct deterministic progressions, but I really doubt anything is physically reversible.
    Theoretically it is, practically it is not. Looks to me it is based on chaos theory. As long as we have all the information we can theoretically trace back its forward progression, no? We just cannot back engineer a hurricane to the flapping of butterfly wings, but if all the information was available we could mathematically trace it back to the beginning, else we could not make that assertion in the first place.

    But bringing a dead thing back to life going backward in time is another matter.
    Well AFAIK, no more so than the Copenhagen Interpretation. It just requires one additional assumption, but then yields a perfectly deterministic system without the very problematic assumption of particle duality.
    https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/qm-bohm/

    I get the impression from cursory reading that Bohmian Mechanics was rediscovered and is alive and well in many scientific circles. I understand that is doesn't really make much difference, being that neither theory can be fully confirmed or fully falsified.

    But I admit this way above my area of knowledge.....

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    Last edited: Mar 10, 2020
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  3. Sarkus Hippomonstrosesquippedalo phobe Valued Senior Member

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    The deterministic system of adding one to the previous state/number is entirely time-reversible. At least, I trust you can count forwards and backwards?

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    No, even theoretically Conway’s Game of Life is not a reversible system. Many patterns conclude to nothing, so any pattern where all the cells are dead has many possible predecessors. You end up with an indeterministic system that relies on input external to the system, or the luck of randomness, to get the system back to where it started from. That makes it non-reversible.
    No one has ever made that assertion, or at least not without misunderstanding what was originally asserted.

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    The assertion was that, after a tiny change in the initial input of a predictive model had a significant effect on the output (notably where a hurricane would make landfall), the size of the change was jokingly compared to be like a butterfly flapping its wing.
    But you are also again making the mistake of assuming that a deterministic system is necessarily reversible. They aren’t. Any deterministic system where two different inputs can both ultimately lead to the same future state is irreversible.
    Here’s a mathematical example: consider the deterministic system of the next state being the square of the previous. If you start with -1 or 1, the system is quickly, if not instantly, in equilibrium. A number between them and it asymptotes to zero. Anything above 1 or lower than -1 and it grows exponentially. Agreed?
    So, let’s reverse it: start with 625. What’s the next number in this reversed sequence? And the next? If you said 25, then 5, you are presuming that the system is limited to positive numbers. After all, the square root of 625 is + or - 25.
    Thus it is time-irreversible: a state, as you head back in time, does not have a single possible preceding state.
     
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  5. Write4U Valued Senior Member

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    I agree in theory. Physically no.

    But what is curious, after you, make this statement about determinism, you immediately begin with falsifying the very process.

    I believe that the definition of determinism always includes the qualification; "if all factors are known". That includes any and all separate historical equivalencies which may yield same results. It may be necessary to follow several historical paths, but eventually you will find the actual chronology.

    But you are assuming that we are unable to retrace "every" history of every causal input. i.o.w. theoretically there are no "unknowns" which can yield similar result from different equations. Then the expression "if all factors are known" would be misleading, no?
     
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  7. Halc Registered Senior Member

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    Practicality has nothing to do with the subject being discussed. A system is said to be reversible if the mathematics describing its behavior is 1) deterministic, and 2) time symmetric. CGoL is not time symmetric.

    A chaotic system might still be deterministic.

    It is impossible for humans to have this information (hence the answer given by Sarkus). RSF interpretation is local and completely deterministic, but any outcome of a system is in superposition, so a prediction of hurricane cannot be made. Bohm has defined state, but even a perfect description of that (including hidden variables) is not enough since it allows effects due to causes in the future, so the cause of the hurricane is potentially due to events that take place after the hurricane.

    Copenhagen interpretation is not deterministic, but other interpretations are. Copenhagen is an epistemological interpretation, and has not been falsified.
    Some take it as a metaphysical interpretation, but that stance is what is becoming increasing difficult to defend. It was never meant to be a metaphysical interpretation by its authors.

    It very much is, yes. They just abandoned the pilot wave model AFAIK.
    The time symmetry of a mathematical model has nothing to do with knowledge of the factors. Said knowledge is needed to make accurate predictions, but not to note the property of time symmetry of a model. So the universe may possibly be fully deterministic, but it has been shown to be impossible to predict the outcome of even the most trivial experiment like when a given nucleus will decay. Such is the difference between determinism and predictability.
     
  8. Sarkus Hippomonstrosesquippedalo phobe Valued Senior Member

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    Physically you can't count forwards and/or backwards???

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    As Halc as said, it is the definition of reversible, and to use his words: "A system is said to be reversible if the mathematics describing its behavior is 1) deterministic, and 2) time symmetric."
    No I don't. I have not said that all deterministic systems are reversible, but did give an example of a deterministic system that is. All reversible systems are deterministic, but not all deterministic systems are reversible.
    Nope, that's merely an attempt to clarify the practical limitations of prediction of a deterministic system. Determinism is usually defined in terms of the effect being wholly determined by the cause. Knowledge of a system is irrelevant to whether it is deterministic or not, only relevant to predictability.
    To clarify: a deterministic system is theoretically predictable with certainty "if all factors are known" about any input plus the governing laws. If you don't know all the factors (a matter of what is practical), the system is still deterministic but you just won't be able to predict with certainty.
    That depends on the system. We have given you one: Conway's Game of Life: deterministic in one direction only, since multiple different inputs can lead to the same output, thus when reversed you end up with one input having many possible outputs. This makes it deterministic in one direction and indeterministic in reverse.
    Knowing "every history of every causal input" is not part of what is required for determinism. That is what is meant by omniscience, surely. Theoretically, though, a deterministic system that is time reversible can provide omniscience - i.e. if you know everything about just one state/input plus the governing laws then you could know every state in both the forward and backward direction.
    But please understand that determinism has nothing to do with knowledge, but that perfect knowledge of a deterministic system at any given time/state does allow perfect prediction going forward, and only perfect prediction going back in time if the system in question is time-reversible.
     
  9. Write4U Valued Senior Member

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    Oh I can count forwards and backwards and standing on my head . But I cannot ever count backwards in time, no matter how I count it is always forward in time, due to the fact that time emerges with the action of counting and is irreversible. Hence time is irreversibly uni-directional.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time

    As to determinism, I'll concede to you, who has obviously much greater knowledge of the subject than I do. I do reserve the right to address the subject at a later time....

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  10. Sarkus Hippomonstrosesquippedalo phobe Valued Senior Member

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    Noone is talking about whether time is uni-directional or not. We are talking about systems and whether they are time-reversible or not. Being time-reversible is simply a property of the governing laws/rules of the system, nothing per se to do with whether time can run backwards. It is more a case of the nature of the system if time ran backwards... not that it necessarily could.

    Whether time itself is reversible or not is somewhat of a metaphysical issue, wrapped up with the question of what time itself is. Your quote from wiki clearly indicates that it is "apparently" irreversible, but that speaks much more to our perception of time than to what time actually is, or how it behaves.
    You quote wiki often enough, you just need to start there.

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  11. Write4U Valued Senior Member

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    I was using this in context of reversal of deterministic systems. If time is not reversible then all speculation about proof of determinism is moot and can only be addressed as theory.
    See, I read this as an affirmation of at least the appearance of irreversibility. If it was the reverse it would have said "apparently reversible". You cannot use a positive statement to prove an opposite. If it says; "apparently irreversible", I take that to mean it that here is no evidence to the contrary. Hence all discussion of reversing time to investigate determinism has to be theoretical only, thus any statement which proposes a variety of indeterminate deterministic functions can only be treated as theory, no?

    p.s . I believe in a mathematical universe, which only processes relative values via mathematical functions,
    regardless of human symbolic languages. IMO, this cannot yield anything other than a mathematically deterministic universe.
     
    Last edited: Mar 10, 2020
  12. Sarkus Hippomonstrosesquippedalo phobe Valued Senior Member

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    Who is speculating about proving determinism here??? I'm merely explaining that while all time-reversible systems are deterministic, not all deterministic systems are time-reversible, which you seemed to be somewhat confused about.
    Correct. The "appearance of irreversibility".
    And if it was an egg it would undoubtedly have been described as such as well.
    I'll bear that in mind should I ever find myself even considering it. But alas that isn't the case here.
    Correct. That is how I take it, but also that it accepts that we don't really know for sure and the the position we do take is based on appearance - e.g. our experience and perception of it - rather than knowing what it actually is.
    There is no such thing as an indeteminate deterministic function... it is an oxymoron. Either a function is deterministic or it is not.
    But yes, this is all philosophy. Metaphysics, even. I was merely trying to correct you on a mistake you were making with regarding your understanding of deterministic systems: that is, not all are time-reversible. If you have a deterministic system X, and you know the state of the system at X100 and the governing laws/rules, then the nature of determinism is such that you can know every future state with certainty. That is not a definition of determinism, but it follows from what determinism is.
    However, only if that deterministic system is time-reversible could you also know with certainty every moment of the system prior to X100 as well. If the system is not time-reversible then you can not know every moment.
    Alas the universe is not deterministic, though. It is probabilistic at best. This is almost universally accepted. Some interpretations of QM allow the universe to be deterministic, but only when considering the multiverse (many worlds), but at the local universe level there is then no way of knowing which universe you are actually in, thus you end up in the same position as the indeterministic (probabilistic) universe, just calling it something different by assuming other universes exist. And if QM is inherently probabilistic, that's okay for a mathematical universe which can cope with probabilities, but it rather puts a dampener on it being deterministic.
     
  13. Write4U Valued Senior Member

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    I am confused about your use of the the term "time-reversible systems", when the definition of time states that it "appears to be irreversible". To me that presents a direct contradiction.
     
  14. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    A complex item can be disassembled and reassembled in what would be called a reversible operation

    However the period over which the operation is not reversible because the period no longer exists

    Or as I contend TIME does not exist

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  15. Sarkus Hippomonstrosesquippedalo phobe Valued Senior Member

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    You shouldn't be, as I gave a link to the wiki page on the notion of "Time Reversible". Look it up.
     
  16. Write4U Valued Senior Member

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    I understand the theorical (mathematical) value of imaginary time-reversal which allows for backward tracing of "effect from cause", but it cannot be done in real time, which is always uni-directional, and you cannot simulataneously go forward and backward in time.

    That would literally and physically stretch you apart as in a black hole, where the front end of your body travels faster than the back end. And that is even going forward in time. Now imagine going simultaneously forward and backward in time.

    But then, I don't believe actual physical backward time travel is possible at all, there is always that pesky uni-directional emergence of time which does not allow going back in time and undoing that which has already happened and completely restoring all the spacetime coordinates in a past moment, let alone duration. That creates an instantaneous natural paradox, IMO. We can look into, but never physically touch or undo the past.

    Is there any hint of anyone ever having physically traveled back just 1 second in time or having reversed time in the physical world? I love theory, but theory has a much greater imaginary application than mathematical physical reality.

    The universe has very practical evolutionary processes. You can never undo "natural selection'' of any physical process. But I'm open to demonstrated correction.
     
    Last edited: Mar 11, 2020
  17. Sarkus Hippomonstrosesquippedalo phobe Valued Senior Member

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    Maybe I’ve missed something, but no one has suggested that it is possible to run time in reverse, to time travel, or anything else you’re complaining about. Whatever time is, and whether it is uni-directional, whether in actuality or merely in appearance/experience, I’ll leave to those discussing the metaphysics of the time. Here, as explained, I’m merely pointing out to you your error in assuming that knowing absolutely the state of a deterministic system at a given point is sufficient to know every state in its past. It isn’t, unless that system is also time-reversible. I.e. all time-reversible systems are deterministic, but not all deterministic systems are time-reversible. It’s as simple as that.
    Why you are trying to muddle the notion of time-reversibility of systems with practical time travel, I have no idea.

    As for whether time has reversed in the natural world, no one would ever know unless it only happened on a local level with forward-time available as a comparative. If it happened on a universal level, and the universe was a time-reversible system, you’d simply never know, any more than characters in a movie know if you’re fast-forwarding them, or playing them in reverse.
    But all that has no bearing on the matter, and is better suited to a thread about the nature of time.
     
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  18. Write4U Valued Senior Member

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    Just trying to sort it out in my own mind. What may seem as a definitive statement is often only probative....

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    I understand and appreciate your patience indulging my curiosity.
     
  19. river

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    What is determined is based on a material Universe .

    Energy , matter .
     
  20. Vociferous Valued Senior Member

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    Sarkus:

    Even though you claim to have kept up with the thread, you seem to have missed this.

    Eternalism - the proposition that past and future are as equally real as the present. In General Relativity time is a dimension, as real as any dimension of space, where "there/then" is just as real as "here/now" and our perception of the "flow" of time is more of an illusion or artifact of our senses.
    "Physics, particularly 20th century physics, does have one lesson to impart to the free will debate; a lesson about the relationship between time and determinism. Recall that we noticed that the fundamental theories we are familiar with, if they are deterministic at all, are time-symmetrically deterministic. That is, earlier states of the world can be seen as fixing all later states; but equally, later states can be seen as fixing all earlier states. We tend to focus only on the former relationship, but we are not led to do so by the theories themselves." - https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/determinism-causal/#DetHumAct

    Presentism - the proposition that the present is all that is real and that past and future do not exist. If the past is not real, there is only a present record and subjective seeming of a past consistent with the present. In that case, antecedent would simply be that choice is among the factors that "logically precedes" effect.

    Growing block - the proposition that the past and present are real and the future is not. If past inexorably leads to the present which inexorably leads to the future, there would be no reason to believe the future, alone, did not exist, unless it was not "set" until a contribution from the present. ​
     
  21. iceaura Valued Senior Member

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    Quantum theory (and chaos theory, etc) can be taken without theoretical conflict as specifying that events are determined by chance, implying that a probability is a mathematically mediated perception of a thing (the feed from a virtual sensory organ, like a potential energy term or similar perceiving of what our physical senses cannot) - thus separating determinism from predictability.

    In that case, earlier states determine but do not uniquely fix later ones - rather, they constrain them (narrowing as the time of measurement approaches).
    Later states do not fix earlier states unless there is only one possible earlier state for a given later one - that seems unlikely, regardless of the role of probability.
    On the one hand, it takes a certain minimum interval of time for most things to exist. So without a real past they don't. On the other hand, the notion that something exists if it doesn't exist at this time seems confusion bound. The best exit from this box seems to be a reconsideration of what exactly is meant by the "present".
     
  22. Sarkus Hippomonstrosesquippedalo phobe Valued Senior Member

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    I didn't miss it. Since I had no intention of interrupting your discussion with Baldeee, I didn't post a reply to it at the time, and only posted anything here because you appealed to the wider readership of the thread to support a claim that I personally could not support.

    But to now address what you posted:

    Your quote regarding the time-symmetry of determinism is saying nothing new, and has been discussed since by Write4U, Halc, and myself. Since you have stated that all theories of time do not negate what determinism is, or its nature, I am unsure why you have linked it to Eternalism when it would equally apply to all the theories, right? This quote simply says that it has been noticed that the fundamental theories are time-reversible (as it has been referred to) - i.e. are deterministic should the arrow of time be reversed. This is not necessarily true of all deterministic systems, but the quote is effectively saying that it seems to be true of the laws of our universe. And that we tend to focus on the forward arrow of cause and effect, rather than appreciating that, in such a time-reversible system, the effect also fixes the cause.

    But this applies to all of the theories of time. Not just eternalism, but to any theory of time that allows determinism. It is not, as you seem to be suggesting, a quote per se in support of Eternalism, but is simply a point to note about the nature of determinism and time-reversible systems.

    If you are posting the quote in support of Eternalism, then you are in effect saying that the other theories do not support determinism.
    So which is it?

    As to your interpretations of the theories, I do not see how they in any way impact the question of the thread. Or at least you have yet to actually explain how. Your interpretation of Presentism, for example, introduces the notion of choice but does not explain it, and thus simply seems to (at least start to) beg the question. And your interpretation of the Growing block confuses what it means to exist with what it means for something to be fixed or certain.
    As has been explained, determinism is the principle that the cause wholly determines the effect. And if the effect is wholly determined then it is certain, based on the cause. If the effect is certain, then in any system where that effect is the next cause, the subsequent effect is then certain. And all things in that direction of flow becomes certain. This is separate from the ontological matter of whether the future or past exist.
     
  23. Sarkus Hippomonstrosesquippedalo phobe Valued Senior Member

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    Unfortunately you continue to misundersand what it means for something to be deterministic. You miss where it requires the effect to be wholly determined by the cause. While it is true that we can mathematically express the probability of the effect with respect to the cause, any probabilistic outcome is simply not wholly determined. To be wholly determined the cause must always lead to the same effect. Not 50% of the time to effect A and 50% of the time to effect B. In this example, there is something else, other than the cause stated, that is actually determining whether it is A or B. To summarise: being able to be expressed mathematically is not the same as it being deterministic.
    Your lack of comprehension of what it means for a system to be deterministic really does cripple you in this thread. It has done from the outset.

    Furthermore, chaos in a deterministic system is simply to do with the sensitivity of the end state of the system to the initial state.
    "Chaos: When the present determines the future, but the approximate present does not approximately determine the future." - Edward Lorenz
    Since we are unlikely to know the initial state of a complex chaotic system, we can at best estimate the outcome probabilistically - hence such things as weather forecasts.
    Hence you're not actually describing a deterministic system. To quote the first line of wiki on the matter:
    "In mathematics, computer science and physics, a deterministic system is a system in which no randomness is involved in the development of future states of the system.[1] A deterministic model will thus always produce the same output from a given starting condition or initial state.[2]"
    (references can be linked to from wiki).
    To summarise: if cause X inherently leads to A 50% of the time, and to B the other 50% of the time, then you are not looking at a deterministic system.
    In time-reversible systems, that is, in systems that are deterministic in both normal and a reversed flow of time, later states do fix earlier states. Pretty much by definition.
     
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