UFOs (UAPs): Explanations?

Discussion in 'UFOs, Ghosts and Monsters' started by Magical Realist, Oct 10, 2017.

  1. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    Don't see any reason to want. Like fits me better

    Playing the percentage game I would go for almost 100% LIFE is out there

    Sentinent less so. Personal guess 70%

    Another personal guess of sentinent beings having Star Trek technology less than 0.5%

    Sentinent beings having Star Trek technology stumbling across us less than 0.00000000000...1% (you get the general picture)

    Don't let my rambling stats stop you wanting

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  3. DaveC426913 Valued Senior Member

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    Is that really true though?

    As just one example, was the account in post 5861 one of the "most convincing"? Yes, you were eventually told that it was mundane, but are you saying that - in time preceding, and the two days after you posted it - you considered it to be one of the most convincing?
     
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  5. Magical Realist Valued Senior Member

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    I certainly found it convincing enough to post here. That it turned out to be a logo was something I hadn't considered though. We are all fallible simians afterall..
     
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  7. sideshowbob Sorry, wrong number. Valued Senior Member

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    As Sherlock Holmes used to say, you can't draw a viable conclusion from insufficient data - i.e. if your data is insufficient, you can not conclude that something is "unexplainable".
     
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  8. Magical Realist Valued Senior Member

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    With the best cases, there is enough information about the ufo to reach a conclusion, however tentative. There is a point when all mundane explanations are ruled out and nothing else remains but that the ufo is a real phenomena with its own unique characteristics. After that it can be compared to other unexplained cases for more information about it. We may at this point know "that it is" without knowing exactly "what it is."
     
    Last edited: Mar 24, 2022
  9. sideshowbob Sorry, wrong number. Valued Senior Member

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    Nobody has a problem with the tentative conclusion that the ufo is a real phenomenon.

    But you have to stop there. If you would stop at THAT it is, you would probably get little argument here. But you have insufficient data to draw ANY conclusion about WHAT it is.
     
  10. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    Nooooooo you can only list characteristics which have been collected about it

    Many mundane explanations can be ruled out. Unthought of mundane explanations cannot be ruled out

    but that the ufo is a real phenomena with its own unique (?) characteristics

    which it has in common? with other UFO's?

    Again nooooooo. There might be some common characteristics, all characteristics might match

    Since the other unknowns the latest unknown is being matched are

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    Gifcat

    unknown no determination can be made about the newest member other than similarities (it not) and the newest unknown remains

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    Gifcat

    unknown


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  11. Magical Realist Valued Senior Member

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    I do stop there, at least when I'm not offering personal speculations. The ufo remains a mysterious phenomena that defies mundane explanations. The problem here seems to be is whether it is still explained mundanely or suggests something we've never encountered. The skeptics here want to leave the mundane explanation door open so that it doesn't suggest something otherworldly. I otoh say the otherworldly door is open because the mundane has been ruled out. This seems to be the major bone of contention here.
     
  12. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    Only the thought of mundane explanations, not the unthought of mundane explanations

    Suggests - pushing it, more I would veture unthought of

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  13. Magical Realist Valued Senior Member

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    How do you know the unthought of mundane explanations exist?
     
  14. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    If you can have
    something we've never encountered I can have

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  15. sideshowbob Sorry, wrong number. Valued Senior Member

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    Exactly - because there IS nothing "otherworldly", as far as we know.
    Otherworldly can only be considered if it becomes mundane.
     
  16. Magical Realist Valued Senior Member

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    It's hard to see something as extraordinary and exceptional as a ufo as a mundane event. By it's very nature and appearance ufos inspire wonder and strangeness, at least to the persons witnessing them.
    UFO's share in the property of being experienced as something wonderous and exceptional. If it presented as a mundane and ordinary event, it wouldn't be a UFO. It'd be an IFO (identified flying object.) This is why I leave the otherworldly door open, because UFOs constitute an extraordinary phenomenon that defies our notions of what is possible.
     
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  17. sideshowbob Sorry, wrong number. Valued Senior Member

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    I said becomes mundane. If there is no mundane explanation, there is no explanation.
    Yes, that's the problem. The human mind loves wonder and strangeness. That's why we do science. But science is restricted to mundane explanations.
    Sure it would. But "unidentified" has nothing to do with "otherworldly".
     
  18. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    Oumuamua interstellar interloper

    Noted to be accelerating as it leaves our solar system

    Could it be Earth's UFO's are moving on?

    Nope

    After ruling out effects from “solar-radiation pressure, drag- and friction-like forces, interaction with solar wind for a highly magnetized object, and geometric effects” due to the shape of the asteroid, they concluded that Oumuamua accelerated due to “comet-like outgassing.” This means that Oumuamua vents gases

    https://magazine.scienceconnected.o...t effects from,that Oumuamua vents gases when

    Back to mundane explanations

    Still more Oumuamua like objects out there (as well as the truth) and one might be a interstellar space craft

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  19. Magical Realist Valued Senior Member

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    Why would aliens be visiting our planet? Only one reason really: our hot soccer moms!

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  20. C C Consular Corps - "the backbone of diplomacy" Valued Senior Member

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    Extraordinary feelings and manifestations supervene on (ordinary) electrochemical sensory and thought processes of a brain. "Remarkable" only from the standpoint that in all other contexts, matter activity lacks accompanying presentations of itself as anything -- even having elemental "properties of appearance and impression" to build-up in complexity from are not among its physical attributions.

    Similarly, but yet differently -- extraordinary interpretations, meanings, and portents can be projected upon sometimes ordinary events and circumstances in the environment that are construed or misconstrued as unconventional.

    Unlike our "the sky is blue" brain experiences, however (which usually are reliable agreement-wise and not unexpected) the significance of an _X_ supposed anomalous event (often having routine causes) may vary more dramatically from person to person. As a result, the value assigned to it has no firm objectivity or consensus among humans.

    For example, one individual may regard a UFO incident as a space visitor, another as a demon, another as a glitch in the matrix, another as a time travel entity, etc (the skeptical minded, of course, prefer a mundane interpretation). Pariedolia might be an exception, where most people will agree that the "idea of a face" seems to supervene on a particular inanimate object or natural occurring, lifeless pattern. ("Seems" being key here.)

    The beef about our brain experiences that are concomitant with certain neural configurations is that all the explanations are either controversial (crazy), self-refuting, or superfluous slash inadequate. But they do arguably establish that "transmundane values and meanings" can automatically affiliate themselves with the relational arrangements and performances of "ordinary stuff". In a more heavy-handed manner than just the projections of imagination and cognitive misapprehensions born from and distributed by culture, social discourse, and storytelling.

    Though anomalous events often turn out to have everyday origins (if not always), the issue of whether a "meaning or significance" of alternate character was seizing an opportunity (flying under the radar of natural principle violations) to impose itself upon certain external situations labeled UFOs, ghostly visitations, etc -- is a separate, oddball issue.

    To figuratively clarify: A video game, for instance, might allow "messages from the outside" to intrude upon its simulated domain as long as they're passive and merely cryptically supervenient on its rule-following activity. (IOW, biased inference on the part of an inhabitant would be required to decipher them, which would always be afflicted with speculative status, though still triggering personal behavior and thereby fulfilling the stealth agency's covert agenda.)
     
  21. James R Just this guy, you know? Staff Member

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    Moderator notice:

    No.

    MR doesn't get to claim that "you dogmatically deny the possibility...".

    He has been schooled on the error of that assumption many times on this forum, over a period of years.

    This is therefore nothing other than an attempt by MR to troll "skeptics" on this forum by knowingly telling lies. That is a breach of our site rules, and I have issued a formal warning to MR.

    MR will be taking a short break from sciforums, again.
     
  22. James R Just this guy, you know? Staff Member

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  23. James R Just this guy, you know? Staff Member

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    You have to clear the hurdle of establishing there is a "they" first - something you consistently and abjectly fail to do.
    None of these things make a UFO an alien spacecraft (or time traveller from Dimension X, or whatever). Positive evidence in favour of that particular conclusion is required.

    In the case of the Nimitz incident, the evidence that has been examined actually points in the opposite direction: towards those events been a "mundane" series of sightings of ordinary aircraft, birds or similar. You've had the analysis presented to you. Why do you continue to deny and/or ignore it?
    That word "unexplainable" you like to use is a terrible tell. What it tells us is that you've already made up your mind. You have decided, from the start, that a UFO sighting is not "explainable as a mundane object or event".

    It ought to go without saying that you could never hope to prove that any event is "unexplainable". The best you could possibly achieve is to show that an event is currently unexplained.

    To rule out the possibility of any explanation (i.e. conventional explanation) from the start is the basic error of the fanboy who has managed to be a member here for many years and yet somehow learn next to nothing at all about science or critical thinking. It beggars belief that somebody could actually be so stupid. Far more likely is that you're just a run-of-the-mill troll, at this point. You know better, but you can't bring yourself to do better.
    What rot. You're a desert of arguments. I can't recall the last time you actually tried to make a case for one of these things being a bone fide alien spaceship or whatever. Your sole skill, if we want to call it that, seems to be to mine youtube and spam this forum with your assumptions and biases.
    The "best cases"? What are those? You seem utterly incapable of producing any kind of meaningful ranking of "cases". For you, every UFO "case" is a "best case" until it is debunked, and sometimes you won't even accept the obvious after the fact.
    Oh, do tell.

    When does the point come when all mundane explanations can be safely ruled out?

    Tell us, Oh Magical Realist! Share your wisdom.
    What a bizarre notion. How could examining an unrelated case possibly give us more information about the case at hand?

    You're like a drowning man desperately reaching for straws.
    It's the bone of contention because you never actually make any meaningful attempt to rule out any mundane explanation. Instead, you make categorical statements that the thing can't possibly be mundane, as if you have a magical ability to draw a line under a case and say "well, now I've ruled out even the possibility of a mundane explanation" - and all while you actually do nothing in the way of analysis or critical thinking on the matter. Instead, you just let it all wash over you. You accept eyewitness statements and any interpretations or opinions that fit your prejudice with wide-eyed credulity, while simultaneously rejecting anything that threatens your sense of "woo woo!" wonderment. Exhibit A: into the mindset of MR:
    You should try it sometime. It's been years. Will you ever try? Will you ever turn your brain on and think, rather than merely wishing and dreaming?
     

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