grand solar minimum

Discussion in 'Astronomy, Exobiology, & Cosmology' started by sculptor, Aug 7, 2020.

  1. sculptor Valued Senior Member

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  3. iceaura Valued Senior Member

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    So you agree that climate researchers have been keeping track of the solar flux and other solar behaviors.
     
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  5. sculptor Valued Senior Member

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    I was rather hoping for an informed and/or intelligent discussion about:
    Will synoptic observations of magnetic fields emerging on the surface of the Sun produce a more advanced and reliable forecasting method for solar activity?

    How reliable can we assume the prediction of a likely grand solar minimum to be?

    If we drop below dalton minimum levels will we enter a new "little ice age"?

    and
    Adding in a possible volcanic winter, is the possibility of another "year without a summer" likely?
     
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  7. origin Heading towards oblivion Valued Senior Member

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    Looks like it is about 50/50. The models are not that robust, if there is a grand minimum that should help refine the models.
    Doubtful, the little ice age had increased volcanic activity that added to the temperature drop, plus the increased greenhouse gases will keep the planet hot.
    No, it is not likely that there will be a marked increase volcanic activity. It is certainly possible though.
     
  8. iceaura Valued Senior Member

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    We would need a common basis in relevant fact and consideration for that.

    Are you now willing to consider the various published estimates of the likelihoods of these various future developments,

    which have been entered into the public record over the past forty or fifty years, considered and reasoned about and discussed in the relevant journals and so forth for almost the entire adult lives of the posters on this forum,

    as worthy of your attention?

    Or is your contribution going to continue to be video based innuendo without content reasoned from evidence?
     

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