Australian Politics - Elections Smelections..

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Bells, Feb 19, 2022.

  1. James R Just this guy, you know? Staff Member

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    Rusted on Liberal voter? Or nutty minor party voter (UAP, One Nation)? Or Green?
     
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  3. LaurieAG Registered Senior Member

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    We have a very unique political setup in Australia at the moment. Technically the official results (Elected MP's and Senators) won't be released by the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) until the middle of next week. The Governor General has appointed a PM, a Deputy PM and a couple of interim ministers until the official results come out. The new PM has left the country with the new Foreign Minister so the new Deputy PM is the Acting PM and there are no officially elected MP's in the country. The new PM/Acting PM and the new interim ministers have full control over all of the government departments until we get a real federal government.

    I'm not surprised the PM left the country or he might have had to explain why he replaced a caretaker government with a political Junta!
     
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  5. James R Just this guy, you know? Staff Member

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    1.2 The caretaker period begins at the time the House of Representatives is dissolved and continues until the election result is clear or, if there is a change of government, until the new government is appointed.

    Didn't the Governor General just appoint a Prime Minister and a bunch of other ministers to various portfolios?

    This is hardly a coup. True, the vote counting is not yet finished, but the result, give or take a handful of seats in both chambers, is clear. The former PM has conceded that his party cannot form the next government and has publically acknowledged the transition to a Labor-led government.

    The reason for the unusual interim measures - call it a rush if you like - is that somebody needs to represent Australia at the upcoming Quad meeting between the USA, India, Japan and Australia. It makes no sense for the nation to be represented by an outgoing Prime Minister who will not be in a position to progress any of the decisions that are made there.

    There is no doubt as to which party will form the government, or who the Prime Minister will be once the vote counting is finished.

    What alternative solution do you propose?
     
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  7. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    Nope none of the above

    Most times voted Labour

    nutty minor party Agree can't see me heading there

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  8. Bells Staff Member

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    They have already hit majority, Laurie.

    I'll give you a moment to grieve if you like.

    And no party will ever win an election with the highest first preference simply because of the spread of first preference votes now.

    The LNP will never be able to regain power if they lose moderate voters. This election has taught us that.

    I find it interesting that the right wing pundits are now screaming and screeching about the need to move more to the right, because those who lost their seats were the so called "moderates". Failing to note that the reason they lost their seats was because they were not moderate enough and people were fed up with politicians who ignored their communities and instead, were more focused on party allegiances, even when those allegiances went against everything their constituents and communities believed in. So the idea of moving more to the right makes no sense, when they are losing voters because they were not moderate enough.

    And they may have to embrace or form a coalition with Palmer. All the seats they lost is where all their money comes from for the party.

    That would entail Dutton and Joyce eating a huge chunk of humble pie and I don't see that happening anytime soon. The "Teals" won't re-enter the fold if their demands and their platform on climate change, integrity and women's and human rights are not met. The "Teals" will also be mindful that preferences flowed to them from the ALP and the Greens, without whom, they could not have won, because their platform was so closely aligned to the Greens and ALP in many areas.

    Should also note that the swing towards the Greens and non "Teal" independent who pushed a more moderate and centre left platform could be seen all over the country. The political tide is changing in this country.. After the fires and numerous floods, droughts, mice plagues caused by climate effects on the weather. Whether Dutton accepts this remains to be seen. There is already trouble brewing with many moderates in the party saying they would resist a push to shift to the right. We could see the party fracture further and it could end up with those moderates going independent themselves, depending on what their constituents say.
     
  9. Bells Staff Member

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    24,270
    What?

    They had to be sworn in today, as the leader of the country had to attend the QUAD meeting in Japan. Given Morrison lost, that's why they had Albanese sworn in immediately to allow him to attend.

    Everyone knew this. You didn't?

    The new incoming ministers and government were therefore forced to go into caretaker mode (something the outgoing Government would normally do) until they are officially sworn in. Currently they were able to get the bare minimum sworn in because of QUAD.

    Perhaps you should turn Sky News off for a bit.. Because this is Peta Credlin level of stupid argument..
     
  10. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    13,077
    VOTERS ARE TO BLAME

    SO now we all gotta suffer more taxes thanks to losers that voted for an idiot and minor parties. We get the government we deserve when morons en masse throw their votes behind weak little parties. We are doomed!

    VNM


    The above from today's NT News letters to the editor, now called YOUR SAY

    I am not VNM

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    Last edited: May 23, 2022
  11. RainbowSingularity Valued Senior Member

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    congrats to labour
    its a good sign of a brighter future for Australia
     
  12. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    NOT SO

    we're doomed meme

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    Last edited: May 23, 2022
  13. RainbowSingularity Valued Senior Member

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    explain . . . ?
     
  14. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    13,077
    Promises made

    Australia will have a second Parliament
    Not going to happen

    Australia will go carbon neutral
    Not going to happen

    Trying to achieve pie in the sky
    (Australia will have a second Parliament) fantasy will split Australians apart

    Trying to achieve pie in the sky
    (Australia will go carbon neutral) fantasy will devastate economy if only partially achieved

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  15. Bells Staff Member

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    Who promised a second parliament?

    What?

    The goal is carbon neutral. You're carrying on as though they are doing it right now. They said by 2050. So calm your farm.

    Perhaps you haven't been affected by the changing climate, but I can assure you, millions of us are affected by it and are voting for a change in policies to slow down those effects and we have had to put up with a Prime Minister who simply didn't give a crap and instead, funnelled cash to people who were in LNP seats, while ignoring the others who had suffered just as badly and providing little to no support for them. You want to complain about Australia going carbon neutral? Go to Northern NSW or areas of QLD that are still in flood (3rd or 4th time this year) and tell them that it's useless as they are still shovelling crap out of their homes from the latest flood event.

    I do not know of anyone in the ALP who promised a second parliament.

    You're arguing against and about something that doesn't actually exist.

    Nonsense.
     
  16. RainbowSingularity Valued Senior Member

    Messages:
    7,447
    why does Australia need 2 parliaments
    is the 1st one broken and cant be fixed
     
  17. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    13,077
    Anthony Albanese promised action on the Uluru Statement from the Heart. So what is the proposed Indigenous Voice to Parliament?

    We will, of course, be advancing the need to have constitutional recognition of First Nations people, including a Voice to Parliament that is enshrined in that constitution," he said.

    Any attempt to enshrined in that constitution will need a affirmative referendum

    Not going to happen but if it even goes to a vote very divisive

    Remember this voice in Parliament will only be for persons CLAIMING to be Aboriginal - no proof needed and will have their own overseas ambassador

    Not yet but.....

    Seems the Aboriginal voice not being heard requirers a coexisting Aboriginal Parliament

    Happening now America

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  18. James R Just this guy, you know? Staff Member

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    Michael,

    Labor's campaign promises will be more costly than the Lib/Nat coalition's. However, Labor did not say that they would raises taxes. As I understand it, their plan to cover the extra cost is to borrow more. This will increase the national debt, but that isn't necessarily a problem. Certainly, the increase will be a drop in the bucket compared to the deficit the Morrison government accrued over the last two years.
    There was no such promise.
    It has to happen if we are to avoid the worst effects of climate change.
    It sounds like you're upset about the idea of a First Nations voice to Parliament. Why? Especially since a specific proposal for that voice has yet to be formulated, let alone put to a referendum.
    Yes. That's what constitutional amendments always require.
    What would be divisive about it? Are you worried about racists who will consider it divisive?
    What kind of proof would you require?

    What ancestral background do you claim for yourself, and what kind of proof have you got to offer to prove it? Do you think there should be some general provision in the Constitution that requires proof of ancestry in order to be part of a representative body? Why?
    Why?
    ???
     
  19. Michael 345 New year. PRESENT is 72 years oldl Valued Senior Member

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    13,077
    No
    As I understand the format will be while any Australian can stand for Parliament ONLY Aborigines will be able to stand for Parliament 2
    I know
    I am concerned this aspect is divisive
    ONLY Aborigines will be able to stand for Parliament 2

    I don't. If pushed I'd go for Homo Sapien like the other 7 billion + occupants of Earth

    And you know "race" is artificial classification which really does not exist with defined boundaries

    If you are going to ONLY allow Aborigines to be able to stand for Parliament 2 would seem to be common sense to ensure ONLY Aborigines do stand

    aboriginal

    inhabiting or existing in a land from the earliest times or from before the arrival of colonists; indigenous.

    How you define decedent's of indigenous people would be tricky (I'm guessing DNA would be frowned upon?) but a claim, without any proof is just that, a claim only

    Look at gas prices as they go green and have gone from gasoline exporter to importer since shutting down exploration

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  20. LaurieAG Registered Senior Member

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    There have been a handful of politicians sworn in as ministers by the Governor General and there are no duly elected Members of the House of Representatives so the 'government' is a political Junta by definition.
     
  21. LaurieAG Registered Senior Member

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    588
    There's just a little problem with the 'government' as there are currently no members of the House of Representatives as they all resigned before the election. Also, all of the appointed ministers are covering all of the ministerial portfolios until the real government ministers are appointed.
     
    Last edited: May 24, 2022
  22. LaurieAG Registered Senior Member

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    588
    Gee, I just looked at the ABC and they only called 74 for the 'government' when a majority is 76. The AEC has to finish counting all of the votes and then recount them again before it releases the official results some time next week.
     
    Last edited: May 24, 2022
  23. Bells Staff Member

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    24,270
    You understand why that is so, yes?

    I mean, it's disingenuous to simply ignore the reason they had to be sworn in the next day. It's literally as though you've been glued to Peta Credlin and Sky News for the last 3 days.

    If only you had selected the "seats in doubt" tab..

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal/2022/results?filter=indoubt&sort=az&state=all

    ALP will likely gain 2 more seats. Add 2 to that 74 and you get the miraculous 76! I know, it's shocking.

    They might even just scrape in Brisbane as well, but that will depend wholly on preferences - https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal/2022/guide/bris

    As for the other two seats:


    Both will come down to preferences. Macnamara has a slight chance of going to the Greens, but given the ALP's lead in that seat, I doubt it.

    The LNP will likely finish with 59 - I say likely because there are two seats that have less than 1000 votes separating them in Deakin and Gillmore it's like 120 votes or something and it will likely come down to preferences. Those seats are:


    In Gilmore, preferences from Pauline and Clive's respective parties will more than likely flow onto the Liberal candidate, the Independent in that seat is an anti-vaxxer, so her preference will likely go to Clive and so on and so forth. Greens preferences will probably go to the ALP or the Independent, depending on their how to vote cards and if people followed them.

    Right now everyone is watching QLD Senate and whether Pauline will lose her seat. Makes for great viewing.
     

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