The Religion of UFOology

Discussion in 'UFOs, Ghosts and Monsters' started by Russ_Watters, Dec 19, 2013.

  1. Russ_Watters Not a Trump supporter... Valued Senior Member

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    So I started another thread asking for quality (scientifically acceptable, conclusive) evidence that alien spacecraft are among us and was shocked by the candor of the initial response from a Believer: no such evidence exists. I don't want to immediately hijack my own thread by exploring that (the request in the other thread still stands), so I'm opening this thread to explore that. The questions are:


    1. What is your criteria/definition/rules for evidence? Ie, how do you gauge evidence quality, what do you require for accepting evidence as true?
    2. What standard of proof do you require before deciding you believe a particular sighting was in fact an alien spacecraft?
    3. Why do you reject scientific standards of evidence/proof?


    As the other thread, this is first targeted at Trapped because of the active conversations, but still open to other alien spacecraft advocates. I honestly want to know how they think. Trapped: You said in the other thread, "You don't seem to understand what "evidence" is." In the context of these threads, you are absolutely correct: I adhere strictly to scientific standards of evidence and I don't even know, much less understand, the standard you are using. It looks like religion to me.
     
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  3. Trapped Banned Banned

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    Simple questions, simple answers:


    ''1. What is your criteria/definition/rules for evidence? Ie, how do you gauge evidence quality, what do you require for accepting evidence as true?''

    Evidence, is anything which may add to a growing body of proof. Evidence, can be anything from observational to physical. The quality of evidence can be based on how much detail can be obtained from a case.


    ''2. What standard of proof do you require before deciding you believe a particular sighting was in fact an alien spacecraft?''


    Standard proof for me, is something like a piece of UFO debris, a microchip... something which undeniably is physical conclusive proof of an intelligence visiting us.

    ''3. Why do you reject scientific standards of evidence/proof? ''

    I don't.

    The scientific method takes into account all evidence and must take the evidence unbiased. If you make a theory and it ignores the body of evidence, then you are not conducting a true scientific investigation.
     
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  5. billvon Valued Senior Member

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    ?? You do realize we have microchips, right? A microchip would be pretty conclusive evidence that it was a terrestrial object.

    Now, intelligent green goo that seems to pack petaflops per microgram of processong power? That would be suggestive of non-terrestrial origin - but again, nothing like that has ever been found.
     
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  7. Trapped Banned Banned

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    Of course. I am talking about something really sophisticated.
     
  8. billvon Valued Senior Member

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    What would you term "sophisticated?"
     
  9. Trapped Banned Banned

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    Can't you use your imagination? I'm only quoting what other scientists have said. In an interview with Kaku, Kaku has said

    ''and yes, we are looking for the smoking gun... some kind of microchip, piece of ship... anything which we can definitely say, that is from outer space!''
     
  10. billvon Valued Senior Member

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    Sure. Petaflop per microgram green goo. Again, microchips (i.e. small integrated circuits) would be evidence of terrestrial origin.

    Imagine finding a torn paper page written in English describing space battles in a landfill. What would be the most likely explanation?

    1) It is evidence of aliens visiting Earth and accidentally leaving behind information.
    2) It is a page torn out of a terrestrial science fiction book.

    The latter would be the most likely. Paper and English are evidence of terrestrial origin because that's what we use here. Microchips would be evidence of terrestrial origin because, again, that's what we use here.
     
  11. Trapped Banned Banned

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    Actually there is law called Moore's Law in which you could determine how many years ahead a microchip is compared with our own technology.
     
  12. Russ_Watters Not a Trump supporter... Valued Senior Member

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    Fair enough, but:
    Scientists don't just accept "anything". They have standards of quality including quantifiability, verifiability and repeatability. Anecdotal, qualitative observation is not scientific evidence.
    Well that's just a lie: You've claimed several alien spacecraft sightings that didn't include such evidence.

    From the other thread:
    You are demanding that I accept the premise that alien spacecraft are real as a condition of showing me the evidence that they are real. That's backwards and very unscientific.

    So lets deal with the issue of eyewitness testimony:
    Yes, indeed, eyewitness testimony is good enough for a court of law. This isn't a court of law: scientific standards are much tougher than that. These observations are not recorded (the observations themselves, not his perceptions of the observations) and they are not repeatable. So the pilot's statements are at best thin and must be interpreted through the lens of science and not just accepted at face value.
    Pilots are humans and subject to the same human failings as everyone else, false perceptions and disorientation among them. Indeed, pilots are made to be disoriented on purpose by moving flight simulators that make pilots think they are moving when they are not. And since no alien spacecraft sightings have been confirmed, pilots are not experienced at positively identifying them.
    This is the circular reasoning fallacy I pointed out in my first post in that thread. You're using the mountain of mediocre evidence as your proof that alien spacecraft are here, using it to prove Valentich's sighting was an alien spacecraft, then adding it to the mountain of mediocre evidence.

    Point being, if that's not the best proof, you shouldn't have posted it, and you apparently do think that a mountain of mediocre evidence is a legitimate substitute for a little bit of quality evidence.
    Again, this is you misunderstanding how scientific proof works: The entire burden of proof is on you.
     
  13. Russ_Watters Not a Trump supporter... Valued Senior Member

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  14. Trapped Banned Banned

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  15. Ivan Seeking Registered Senior Member

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    Scientific evidence is the highest form of evidence. But we convict people of crimes every day without having the luxury of scientific evidence. We convict them based on the same sort of evidence that we have for UFO reports. So a willingness to consider the non-scientific evidence for ET is no more ludicrous than our justice system.
     
  16. Ivan Seeking Registered Senior Member

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    I'll throw my hat in the ring.

    I never accept any evidence as fact. That's why it's called "evidence" and not "fact". If a particular report is well documented with strong supporting evidence, say for example in the cases of many military reports, then I assign high confidence to the alleged facts but not necessarily any related conclusions. The number of and the credibility of the witnesses, documentation of the alleged events, the circumstances, supporting evidence in the form of RADAR tracks, or video, or photographs, trace evidence, and any apparent anomalies associated with the report, are all taken into consideration.

    I've been studying this issue for about thirty years and I have yet to draw any conclusions. And that is the difference between my position and many so-called skeptics. I haven't made up my mind about anything. As much as there IS a UFO religion, there is an anti-UFO religion.
     
  17. Russ_Watters Not a Trump supporter... Valued Senior Member

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    That would follow if that one flaw made courts and alien spacecraft advocates identical in their thinking, but it doesn't. Courts are at least logical.
    Oy. All evidence is fact unless it is fabricated (then it is fabricated fact). What matters is being able to tell what part of a witness's testimony actually is evidence/fact and what is speculation on the part of the witness. For example, if someone says:

    "At night, I saw a distant point of light."

    The statement contains three facts and one piece of speculation.
    Facts:
    1. It was night.
    2. I saw a light.
    3. It appeared pointlike to my eyes.

    Speculation: it was distant. This part of the statement is neither fact nor evidence, it is just speculation about something that the observer can't know.

    This is probably the key thing that is missing in the logic of alien spacecraft advocates: they just plain don't understand how you prove something logically/with evidence.
    This is a misnomer as well. Keeping an open mind does not eliminate the burden of proof or default conclusion that something is not accepted to exist until proven. And that applies in courts and science as well.
     
  18. Ivan Seeking Registered Senior Member

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    Your response is purely subjective and not a logical response. I was speaking to the logic of considering evidence.
     
  19. siledre Registered Senior Member

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    I really can't say that science or anyone has proven to me aliens exist, so they have some questionable photos and a lot of people saying they've seen them, well, all I have to do is remember how many times in the past that other people have said things to gain attention and what they were saying turned out to be false, they just wanted in on the popularity of it. too many people are wanting something to happen so bad the mind manufacturers what they need.
     
  20. Russ_Watters Not a Trump supporter... Valued Senior Member

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    I may have edited to add more explanation after you wrote that but in any case, logic is the only thing I'm discussing in that post!

    But if you mean subjective in that some alien spacecraft advocates are more logical than others, that's trivially true, but here we are talking to the people here in this forum and you've been kind enough to demonstrate on which side you fall.
     
  21. Ivan Seeking Registered Senior Member

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