What climate change is not

OK so no worries for you then. Keep burning all that coal and oil.
As I posted on page 1 what I or you think is irrelevant. Human nature is what it is....
I have stated or implied in other threads that in my personal opinion, Human nature as it is today, will ensure that NO meaningful reduction in CO2 output will occur until the situation becomes a life or death one. The consequences of global warming have to be imminent and as such it will be way to late to do anything once those consequences are experienced by those who are responsible for managing our global CO2 output.
Example: The recent unprecedented catastrophic wild fires in Australia released a massive amount of CO2 into the atmosphere. 10million hectares that due to drought or low water will probably not grow back any time soon. Thus the net CO2 gain to the atmosphere will not be properly re-sequestered by new growth. With further wild fires predicted basically until there simply isn't anything left to burn.
Suffice to say that there is ample evidence that Human demand for energy via coal and natural gas is increasing and is currently being filled by further development of the fossil fuel industry.

Reductions in CO2 will not occur in fact quite the opposite is most likely. IMO
Therefore one can surmise that by the time we humans decide to stop producing CO2 in such vast amounts our fate as a race will be sealed.
That this planet may very well become uninhabitable for any animal with out the protection of artificial sustainable habitats whether subterranean, on the surface or under the oceans...or even in orbit...
Our Human nature will force us to sleep walk in to the nightmare our lack of vision has created.
 
A thousand fold increase in wildfire would make Australia uninhabitable by humans - likewise several other regions currently home to many millions of people. The consequences of that would hardly be limited to 25,000 deaths.

Nope. Again, even today, in areas where there are massive wildfires, we are seeing tens to hundreds of dead. Not millions.

The recent fires in Australia are estimated to have killed 1 billion individual animals.

Likely a lot more than that if you take ALL the animals into account (mammals, birds, spiders, insects, worms etc)

Of course, there are about 20 quadrillion insects in Australia to begin with, so even 100 billion would not be a sizeable fraction of that.

Technically correct, kinda-sorta, but also... awfully misleading? Where have I seen this before?
 
Ocasio-Cortez: "The World Is Going To End In 12 Years If We Don't Address Climate Change"

The full quote, in context:
“Millennials and people, you know, Gen Z and all these folks that will come after us are looking up and we’re like: ‘The world is gonna end in 12 years if we don’t address climate change and your biggest issue is how are we gonna pay for it?' " Ocasio-Cortez asked Coates.
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-e...world-will-end-in-12-years-if-we-dont-address

Spare us the disingenuous bullshit.
 
So - IN CONTEXT - the world will not actually end in 12 years but unless we correct climate change (stabilise at some optimum level by taking action now) but continue as we currently live, in 12 years time it will be to late to fix the climate problem

Is that in context?

Continue our lifestyle - in 12 years to late to change Earth climate - everyone will be suffering, due to climate conditions, which we have no hope of fixing - we are all doomed - Earth will end some period later

Got it

Still would like a countdown app

:)
 
It takes 3 months to burn 17 million hectares but more than 3 years for solid regrowth (CO2 sequestration) so you have an over lapping CO2 production with little Carbon sequestration before the next wild fire. (assume 12 month cycles) The sum outcome is massive CO2 with out any time for regrowth to sequester the CO2 produced.
Think on it a bit more perhaps... you can do it!
Where does that CO2 come from? Think hard! Harder! You can do it!
 
Precisely the sort of thinking that's brought us the already catastrophic mess we find ourselves in today.
Really? Where are the mutated 3 eyed kids? Or even the mutated 3 eyed fish?

Our current problems are due to excessive CO2 emission. It boggles the mind that people want to increase that problem because "3 eyed fish" or "it's too late anyway" or "it's too hard to change." Good luck with that.
 
Technically correct, kinda-sorta, but also... awfully misleading? Where have I seen this before?
So it's correct but it doesn't have the correct "feel?" I should be more groupthinky?

OK. We're all going to die in 12 years because the fires in Australia will kill everyone and emit nearly infinite amounts of CO2 forever. Better?
 
Really? Where are the mutated 3 eyed kids? Or even the mutated 3 eyed fish?

Our current problems are due to excessive CO2 emission. It boggles the mind that people want to increase that problem because "3 eyed fish" or "it's too late anyway" or "it's too hard to change." Good luck with that.

???

Didn't think the added emphasis was necessary, but I was responding to this:
(3 eyed fish) certainly better than mutated 3 eyed kids.

Really?
 
So it's correct but it doesn't have the correct "feel?" I should be more groupthinky?

OK. We're all going to die in 12 years because the fires in Australia will kill everyone and emit nearly infinite amounts of CO2 forever. Better?

C'mon--I meant "correct" in the same way that "3 percent unemployment" is an accurate reflection of the real unemployment rate.

The second paragraph, well... something about fratboy rhetoric goes here.
 
Where does that CO2 come from? Think hard! Harder! You can do it!
maybe if you go first I will be inspired to bother...

The three eyed fish was a topic spin off about the new Russian floating nuclear power plants and how dangerous that will be when they start mass production. You seek to gloss over the risks they are taking with your life so easily..and consider the risks as somehow acceptable.....and claim three eyed fish is a better outcome than three eyed children...therefore the risk is acceptable?
602x338_cmsv2_2721f69b-1067-5bf3-a245-60ad67a0e6b4-4076640-jpg.3068



Obviously you are too fearful to post rationally... need to mutate a spine perhaps....
 
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maybe if you go first I will be inspired to bother...
OK then.

CO2 comes from burning plant matter; that plant matter came from atmospheric CO2. Thus if you grow a forest to maturity you absorb a lot of CO2. If you then burn it you release that CO2. If you burn it more often you absorb less CO2 (less growing time) and release less CO2 (less fuel to burn.)
The three eyed fish was a topic spin off about the new Russian floating nuclear power plants and how dangerous that will be when they start mass production. You seek to gloss over the risks they are taking with your life so easily..and consider the risks as somehow acceptable.....
Coal power kills approximately 115,000 people around the world each year. Nuclear kills approximately 1 per year. Overall, per terawatt-hour generated every year, coal kills 161 people, natural gas kills 4, hydro kills 1.4 and nuclear kills .04.

I prefer the odds with nuclear.

When Japan had its Fukushima plant melt down, 0 people died. When they started burning more coal to compensate, 12,500 additional people died every year. Are you willing to be one of those 12,500?
 
OK then.

CO2 comes from burning plant matter; that plant matter came from atmospheric CO2. Thus if you grow a forest to maturity you absorb a lot of CO2. If you then burn it you release that CO2. If you burn it more often you absorb less CO2 (less growing time) and release less CO2 (less fuel to burn.)

Coal power kills approximately 115,000 people around the world each year. Nuclear kills approximately 1 per year. Overall, per terawatt-hour generated every year, coal kills 161 people, natural gas kills 4, hydro kills 1.4 and nuclear kills .04.

I prefer the odds with nuclear.

When Japan had its Fukushima plant melt down, 0 people died. When they started burning more coal to compensate, 12,500 additional people died every year. Are you willing to be one of those 12,500?
you are really having difficulty in maintaining contextual credibility in your arguing.

When you answered with the following:
CO2 comes from burning plant matter; that plant matter came from atmospheric CO2. Thus if you grow a forest to maturity you absorb a lot of CO2. If you then burn it you release that CO2. If you burn it more often you absorb less CO2 (less growing time) and release less CO2 (less fuel to burn.)

what was the question you were attempting to address?

same with
Coal power kills approximately 115,000 people around the world each year. Nuclear kills approximately 1 per year. Overall, per terawatt-hour generated every year, coal kills 161 people, natural gas kills 4, hydro kills 1.4 and nuclear kills .04.
I prefer the odds with nuclear.
When Japan had its Fukushima plant melt down, 0 people died. When they started burning more coal to compensate, 12,500 additional people died every year. Are you willing to be one of those 12,500?
What was the question you are attempting to address?

You are providing great answers but not for the questions being debated but for some other questions not actually in dispute....

btw According to wiki the death toll from Fukushima stands at 1 not 0
The death toll does not include those who are suffering long term exposure related illnesses associated. The likely hood of the death toll being adjusted upwards is very likely as those persons succumb to their illnesses and die. According to reports at the time over 300 engineers volunteered to extreme radiation exposure to avoid civilian causalities, if I recall correctly...
History has of course been rewritten since then to fit the political narrative.

Either way your defense of the safety of land based nuclear power stations stands as reasonably valid. But that was NOT the question being argued.

Perhaps to aid you, you could quote the question you are debating as a heading.
ie.
Re:
Mass production of floating Russian built nuclear power stations and the risks of oceanic contamination.

Or

How carbon sequestration is too slow to absorb annual wild fire CO2 emissions.

It might help you be more persuasive in your debating...
 
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It takes 3 months to burn 17 million hectares but more than 3 years for solid regrowth (CO2 sequestration) so you have an over lapping CO2 production with little Carbon sequestration before the next wild fire. (assume 12 month cycles) The sum outcome is massive CO2 with out any time for regrowth to sequester the CO2 produced.
Think on it a bit more perhaps... you can do it!
If there is no time to regrowth then there is nothing the fire can destroy.

If we take into account the alarmism, then the amount of what is burning will be overestimated, and the regrowth will be underestimated (if it is not simply ignored). But there is simply, even in theory, no way of creating a permanent raise of CO2 by wildfires. Simply think about conservation of C atoms. The worst you can do is to burn all the trees. After this, there is simply no more wood to burn, until there is enough regrown to start new wildfires.

What matters for the actual state is simply how green the Earth is (leaf area). Here, some data are available, see here.
127.jpg

So, despite wildfires, the green area is not at all decreasing, but increasing.
 
If there is no time to regrowth then there is nothing the fire can destroy.

If we take into account the alarmism, then the amount of what is burning will be overestimated, and the regrowth will be underestimated (if it is not simply ignored). But there is simply, even in theory, no way of creating a permanent raise of CO2 by wildfires. Simply think about conservation of C atoms. The worst you can do is to burn all the trees. After this, there is simply no more wood to burn, until there is enough regrown to start new wildfires.
You are assuming something unfortunately.
You are assuming that the wild fire involves the entire amount possible to burn.

If you have an area of say 1000 million hectares and only 17 million burn every year how many years will it take to burn through the entire forest ( for a first time)?
Now calculate how many years will it take for regrowth to be strong enough to sequester the CO2 released every year? ( assume enough rain fall to do the job which is currently absurd but hey who cares))
Consider that it takes anything up to 30 years and beyond to restore the first wild fire forest and sequester the CO2 released.

What sort of CO2 in excess of sequestrated CO2 is involved over 30 years if every year 17 million hectares is burned to the ground?

I'd do the math but I couldn't be bothered...the problem is obvious enough...

The map you have posted is laughable... gosh if Australia had a green center as shown, it would be a miracle... a bit of fantastic magical thinking involved there, hey?

The Antarctic needs some green as well, so they are saying in the media at the moment...
https://www.npr.org/2020/02/21/808187601/-antarctica-melts-nasa-says-showing-effects-of-record-heat
 
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You are assuming something unfortunately.
You are assuming that the wild fire involves the entire amount possible to burn.
If you have an area of say 1000 million hectares and only 17 million burn every year how many years will it take to burn through the entire forest ( for a first time)?
Now calculate how many years will it take for regrowth to be strong enough to sequester the CO2 released every year? ( assume enough rain fall to do the job which is currently absurd but hey who cares))
Then it takes 60 years for everything to burn once. That means, there is not even a chance that everything burns down, because after 50% are burned down, the first 17 millions are again 30 years old. After this the situation will be stable. In fact, humans could also log another 17 million and the situation would be stable too.
The map you have posted is laughable... gosh if Australia had a green center as shown, it would be a miracle... a bit of fantastic magical thinking involved there, hey?
This map is from this source. And the green color means an increase in leaf area in percent. It does not mean that it is very green there. It only means that there is now more green than in the past.
 
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