Discussion in 'Parapsychology' started by Magical Realist, Feb 20, 2015.
What are the odds of this happening? Simply amazing!
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Apparently higher than you'd think, since it happened here too Please Register or Log in to view the hidden image!
Actually, looking at it- knowing there are no R's, and only one L, it kind of limits that first word. I currently have it paused at the 35 second mark, and I'm guessing it is "I've got a good feeling about this"
EDIT - Yep!
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Not that remote. Knowing:
-the length of all the words
-the location of a single letter
-the fact that another letter does not appear anywhere else
would allow someone with a good memory and an ability to think fast to narrow it down to a small number of choices - a dozen or so depending on the phrases. In that case the odds would be 1 in 12. (You could also cheat and use a computer to do such matching very rapidly.)
Yep..she calculated all that in the like 5 seconds after the L was put up there. That splains it all. lol!
Humans are good at pattern recognition. It's what we do. It's impressive, because we are very good at it and often we get it wrong.
Anuther way of lookin at it... id say the odds that it woud not have occured is zero... which is based on my notion that the universe is deterministic.!!!
Whats you'r gut-feelin on how they got the corect answr.???
Humans are exceptional at problems like that. It comes from the days where it was VERY advantageous to see a tiger's ear and realize that there was an entire tiger attached to it.
Not to mention that humans are exceptional at parallel processing - our minds can go in several different directions at once and then pull the most likely result out of that mess.
Yes, it's impressive. Yes, the odds are low (1 in a thousand?). But what does any of that have to do with ESP?
She said she had a hunch. Like the whole phrase came to her at once. That's either esp, or some kind of subconscious computational ability we all may have. Savants display this in amazing cases.
The latter. Many people have pretty remarkable abilities to pattern match. "Name that tune" is another example - people can identify songs from two or three notes.
And you are seriously telling me you have never had a similar experience? That would explain some things.
One time I was watching and I guessed correctly before the first person even spun the wheel.
No letters whatsoever.
Admittedly, the Historical Event was "The Industrial Revolution", so there weren't many potential events to choose from with words that long.
What would it explain praytell? And where did I "seriously tell you" I have never had a similar experience?
What Sense? I've never heard of anyone claiming a "good at word games" sense.
If you had had a similar experience then you would - surely - have contemplated that experience and noted its character and perceived in a broad sense the mechanism at work and found it elegant, but readily explicable without appealing to ESP. Nor would you have suggested that the ability was limited to "savants.....in amazing cases".
As to the mechanism:
1. Get in the zone - a distinct mental state as verified by MRI scans.
2. Think on the structure of the problem - number of words, number of letters in each word. Accomplish this in the form of an overview.
3. Note the location of any letters, but again, not with intense focus, but a brushing appreciation.
4. Engage. (If you have actually done this you will know what I mean by engage.)
5. Allow the neurons activated by all of the foregoing to trigger those where the memory of the phrase is located.
6. Catch it as it appears in your consciousness.
7. Repeat as necessary until you have won the jackpot.
Actually, having the experience would not have necessarily unveiled it's mechanism to me, as indeed it doesn't ever to anyone. All that occurs to us on the conscious level is the lucky guess, the fortuitous hunch, the serendipitous divination. So whether it is esp or a subconscious computation remains unknown. And since I said it is an ability we all may have, I obviously wasn't limiting it to savants.
As for your spurious explanation of the mechanism, I find it hard to believe she did all that figuring out consciously. It's unlikely that she deliberately assessed the correct phrase based on missing letters, word lengths, or possible phrases in the 5 seconds after the L was put up there. Hence my theory that it is either esp or an unconscious computational ability.
What sense indeed? Where did I say it was a "sense"?
OK, I get it. You are slow.
Reported for insult..
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