I remember the very day Bush and Cheney got elected, I was truly, seriously considering purchasing shares in Halliburton. The only reason I didn't was because I was naive enough to think the US government wasn't actually this corrupt, and that Halliburton's profits wouldn't massively spike on a fake WMD war cooked up by its former CEO. I could have retired at 25 if I had followed through on that hunch.
Total BS.
The Stock was selling in the $20 price range in the end of 2000, but was down to $5.50 by January of 02.
You'd have probably bailed sometime during that freefall and lost almost all of your investment.
Indeed it didn't make it back to the price you would have bought it for until January of 05.
Not many people stick by loosers like that.
But they eventually clawed back and by the time they sold off the B&R subsidiary, the one involved in the Iraq war they were trading around $30.
So if you bought it thinking that the price of the stock was related to the Iraq war and kept it till then, you would have made about $10 per share but it would have taken 6 years, so no you would not be retiring even if you made a big Halliburton purchase in 00.
i.e. 10,000 shares = $200,000 in 02.
Sell in 06 10,000 shares = $300,000 = $100,000, minus ~25% tax = $75,000.
Indeed the run up in value of Halliburton came in 08, well after the sale of B&R and peaked around $50 before the crash in Oct to again, back to below the price you paid for it.
So, if you sold it in 09, then you would have made nothing.
Of course timing is everything in the stock market, but you can't confidently say you would have sold during the brief peaks.
http://www.google.com/finance?client=ob&q=NYSE:HAL
Arthur