You've started something like six threads on the subject. (I'm surprised that the moderators are letting you get away with doing that.)
Still, it is obviously interesting to see seemingly well-educated people fail to agree to something as obvious as that.
It illustrates a problem that can arise when we assume that our own philosophical intuitions must be universal, just because they seem so obvious to
us. (Just look at the religion arguments between the atheists and the theists.)
For God sake, I you can read English at all, we are explicitly concerned with the possibility that they may be, not might be.
Perhaps in French there's a distinction that doesn't exist in English. In English, 'may be' and 'might be' are effectively synonymous.
Turning every exchange into a 'to-the-death' ego battle isn't going to win you any friends, or motivate people to agree with you.
If you could lose your combative arrogance for a moment, you would see that I was defending your point against Iceaura's criticism there.
I wrote:
I think that he's making a different sort of argument. He's arguing that if A is a member of a particular set, and if B is a member of the same set, then it's possible that A = B.
We aren't trying to prove that (A = B) is T. We are concerned with the possibility that they might be. (It also remains possible that they might not be.) Speakpigeon seems to want to argue that his premises imply that ◇(A=B) is T.
The point that I was trying to make seems clear enough (to me, anyway). I wasn't trying to assign probabilities, I was talking about whether or not your argument implies possibility.
It has to be remarkably strange that you guys are all unable to take my arguments at face value, as worded, as phrased. You keep coming back each time with a redaction of the original argument. That's just derail after derail after derail. I wouldn't want you to run the rail service.
Natural language is often logically ambiguous. That's why logicians symbolize the logical structure of arguments originally expressed in natural language. Oftentimes that formalization isn't a trivial exercise, since the same text might plausibly receive several logical interpretations.
I've asked you, on several occasions, what logical work your phrase "may be" is doing in your statements of your arguments. I asked you to formalize your arguments. For whatever reason, you refused.
So your task, if you don't want these exchanges to keep going in circles, is to formalize your argument in whatever way you please.
Then ask your validity question.
If you do that, you probably still won't get an answer, since I doubt very much whether anybody here (including you) is able to do proofs in modal logic.