CptBork,
et al,
Among the surviving 20th Century American thinkers, transitioning into the 21st Century, that still have political-military influence today in the US, --- they tend to considered China the most significant threats to US national security, with Russia posing the number two threat. Having said that, the nature of the threat is not military based. Neither China or Russia has any desire to launch military action against the US.
The difference in the scale of the threat posed by China and Russia, it somewhat difficult to understand. But there is quite the gap between the two; with China so much farther ahead of Russia.
NOTE: Iran and North Korea are in the mix, but don't have the force projection capability to reach beyond their respective regions. They need to be considered, but in a totally separate compartment. The nature of their threat is different and fueled differently.
On that note, thinking of nations who work to actually undermine US national security (and have this in itself as an explicit goal), I wonder what your take on Russia and China might be. My layman's impression is that those two countries have serious ego issues on the international stage, and indeed they are only too happy to damage US interests even when their own interests are somewhat harmed in the process (latest example, backing the Assad regime in Syria with supplies, intelligence and diplomatic obstructionism).
(SIDE NOTE)
> The "backing the Assad regime in Syria with supplies, intelligence and diplomatic obstructionism" is a direct response to US interventionism, which no one but the Israelis appreciate in that Region; and is eroding Russian attempts to reestablish its influence.
(COMMENT)
Yes, you are right on target. Both China and Russia have a direct interest in eroding US influence in the region; but for different reasons.
China is an emerging economic and industrial power; the foundation on which a super power builds its hegemony. And as China builds economic and industrial influences around the world, it will
(by necessity) need to improve and expend its military capacity for the very same reasons that the US does; with one difference. The US influence is enhanced by a powerful "pol-mil" hegemony. The Chinese influenced is enhanced by a "pol-econ" hegemony. Each country has a reason to promote a positive, cooperative, and comprehensive relationship with the other. Yes! The US has a national security interest in seeing that China becomes strong, prosperous, and successful in world affairs. One of the reasons, but not limited to, is the fact that China is a major holder of US debt
($1.150+ Trillion), just above Japan which holds a like sum
(about $50B less). This is huge, as the next largest debt holder owns considerably less that $300B. If China were to become economically unstable, it would have a rather significant impact on the US and it economic stability; which is not in all that great shape. However, the mutual relationship means a mutual liability. If the US dollar suffers, then so does the huge holding of China. The nature of the Chinese threat is economic and industrial. The US technology is largely based on foreign based manufactured industrial components. Like the recent unveiling of the Chinese Stealth Fighter, it is not about the improvement of the Chinese Air Force or the potential for confrontation. It is more about the opening of an alternative market for stealth technology. If the US and Chinese has them, then maybe other regional neighbors will want them. It is also good barter material for energy contracts with regional interests.
There is also the political elements that bubble with China. As China becomes a successful economic and industrial power, it casts a new view on the form of government. Democracies are normally associated with successful economies, where non-democracies have the opposite reputation. But China can, again, can offer a new alternative to legitimizing authoritarianism and economic successes regimes.
This and more, challenges the stability of the US super power status; or, as some 20th Century thinkers suggest, US national security.
Most Respectfully,
R