"Like Saddam, you have no plausible explanation for where the weapons might have gone"
My and Saddam's explanation is that he destroyed them.
"So, weapons were proven to exist, and no evidence that they were destroyed (or otherwise disposed of) was forthcoming"
There was quite a lot evidence that he destroyed them. Iraq submitted about 12,000 pages of it. Most of the weapons don't have a shelf-life that would of allowed them to exist more than 6 months.
"I note below that you're of the opinion "massive amounts" of Saddam's weapons were destroyed during inspection. Fine. I posit that many more, and perhaps most, were not"
That is not opinion, but fact.
Former UNSCOM weapons inspector Scott Ritter stated that, as of 1998, 90–95% of Iraq's nuclear, biological, and chemical capabilities, and long-range ballistic missiles capable of delivering such weapons, had been verified as destroyed. Technical 100% verification was not possible, claims Ritter, not because Iraq still had any hidden weapons, but because Iraq had preemptively destroyed some stockpiles and claimed they had never existed.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction
"I think it's logical to conclude that they *might* still be there"
Pre-emptive wars should not be justified on "might". This pre-emptive war was not justified on "might".
"But don't say it like you knew all the answers ahead of time."
I did. It's a gift.
Let me rephrase that then. Their water and the water immediately adjoining their water. Sheesh. What a nit picker.
You said US troops were stationed in Iraq and Iraqi water. I have the responsibility to point out what crapola that is.
The agreeability of the circumstances is debatable. I fail to see how this bolsters your argument in any case.
This bolsters my case because you said Iraq was a thorn in the side. Relative to the current state of affairs it wasn't. Saddam was contained with minimal expense, minimal political blowback and no loss of life.
Except that Saddam had signed agreements ahead of time allowing unfettered access to international inspectors. Here's what Clinton had to say about the situation.
That security personel had access to them doesn't render them useless. That is a pretty weak argument. So what if Hussein had the inspectors monitored? How does it impede their ability to verify disarmanent? What Clinton(who you've just been criticizing) fails to mention is that Iraqi counterintelligence caught the CIA posing as WI.
http://www.library.cornell.edu/colldev/mideast/unsc2.htm
The sort of stuff the leader of an entire country might have at his disposal.
1) Except that he didn't. He had to buy fraudulent aluminium tubes and non-existent uranium from outside. The trade of such goods is monitorable.
2) The sort of stuff that leaves a big footprint.
I argue that this lack the evidence couldn't exist without the fact of the invasion.
Infrastructure is inspectable without an invasion, both by satelite and human inspectors. You can keep tabs on and interview qualified scientists and you can monitor purchasing and importation. You can ascertain with a reasonable level of probability that he had no nuclear program.
First of all, it was your assertion that I was agreeing with, not the upside-down and backwards.
You were suggesting that Saddam couldn't be expected to build billion dollar bases in plain sight. This is a straw-man of my argument that Saddam had no demonstratable links with terrorism. BTW, you can't agree with me AND be sarcastic. The sarcasm would move your statement into disagreement with mine.
Thirdly, by arguing that my government may also be a state sponsor of terrorism you only prove the point I was making earlier. I'm not the one saying you can't prove Saddam had ties to terrorism.
I bring up Canada to show that your criteria for justifying invasion are ludicrously broad. You can apply the same argument to practically any country, so reductio ad absurdum, it doesn't mean anything.
I'm not the one saying you can't prove Saddam had ties to terrorism.
No, you're the one who can't prove it. (Or lend any level of support to this assertion)
Your conclusion is based on your "proof" that Saddam had no weapons or ties to terrorism, against which I've stated my case.
No, my conclusion is based on the fact you have no evidence. You don't have a case, since you have nothing to show Saddam had ties with any terrorists(bar palestinians) or had any unconventional weapons.
All of which had been tried for over a decade, without success.
You neglect the fact these resulted in the verifiable destruction of ~90-95% Saddam's stockpile and discouraged Saddam from international aggression. You neglect the fact that the sanctions, according to the Kay Report, made weapons development impossible.
You also neglect to mention that for much of the last decade there was little political will to resolve the situation. However, once Bush started getting riled up Saddam became very, very cooperative. It would of been far more prudent to let the inspections run for a time, demonstrating either a lack of weapons or Saddam's unwillingness to cooperate. There are not merely the options of inaction and action, there are many graduations between the two.
You say that as if the war was fought on a whim, and the US was the only country involved, and the preceeding decade hadn't happened.
No I don't.
I think the thrust of your argument is that nations that weren't directly involved in 911 should be exempted from the war on terror, and I disagree.
The thrust of my argument is exactly as I have written. You suggest 911 was an urgent warning that the Iraqi situation need be resolved. Given they are utterly and entirely unrelated, I'd have to ask, why? 911 does not give Saddam a pass, but it does not condemn as you would have it.
As I said above, been there, done that. Nothing was resolved by playing by the rules while allowing Saddam to freely flaunt them.
It was not pursued with any conviction, though. There was no political will, nor a need for any resolve to be developed. What pressure was actually applied? Clinton really didn't care and pre-911 Dubya was even worse. The US got results when it started squeezing Saddam's balls. When the US started amassing troops in the region Saddam became helpful. Under those conditions my proposed course of action would have been fruitful.
-A temporary condition. And I think you seriously underestimate the US Armed Forces' ability to acquire resources when the need is pressing.
Yeah, it isn't like terrorists would strike when America isn't ready.
True, if you presume the Bushites are going to mount another war. Bush is a lame duck president. There isn't going to be another war in the next three years, unless the terrorists mount another successful attack. In which case, the American public WILL have a bar of it. Several bars, maybe.
Will they? They were wrong about Iraq and not any safer because of it. The point isn't about an attack necesarily, but about deterrence. Iran was being relatively compliant because the US was belligerent and powerful, now they are weary and far weaker...
Same as the first point. They CAN afford it. Indefinitely. For historical references, look into the Berlin Airlift, and the subsequent Cold War.
I'm not so sure. Even if it is affordable, it will be too expensive to comtemplate.