Here in Melbourne Au. we are in the middle of what could and probably will be "Nursing home" catastrophe.
All because of at least three main issues. IMO
- Underestimation of the threat.
- Complacency and denial.
- Wanting to hedge longer term success. with immediate economic needs
Currently Victoria is in a major 2nd wave spike with no apparent end to it's growth. (level 3 lock-down)
Example of complacency and confusion.
Yesterday a young lady arrived to perform a routine bank evaluation of my rental apartment.
According to government regulation she is allowed to enter my rental and perform measurements and inspection while wearing nothing more than an ill-fitting surgical mask as PPE.
What is more problematic is that she had traveled from across the city to perform her duties and was legally allowed to transport any possible infection with her. Thus running the risk of out of region transmission.
Currently we have a 10 person + outbreak in a nursing home less than 2 km from where I live with an unknown transmission source.
This worker considered entering my apartment as being safe and with low risk with out any reason to consider that to be the case in fact she should have had every reason to have doubts about her own safety. Certainly enough doubt to require her to wear appropriate PPE and not just a simple surgical mask with out gloves, face-shield etc... and ... enough doubt to ensure
my safety by wearing such.
She and I are now considered as close contacts for any future contact tracing requirements with the associated inconvenience of 14 day isolation if we are called upon due to the infection of any of her other and varied clients.
Suffice to say she should have been wearing comprehensive PPE but was not.
Complacency and underestimation is obvious and this is why we are seeing so many deaths in nursing homes and in the general population.
Unfortunately there is little doubt to me that the nation will eventually have to go in to a solid lock down ( stage 4) to reduce the transmission rate, a lock down that would have not only save lives but also the economy if installed and maintained earlier.
News is also filtering through concerning a break down of logistics Land and Sea ( freight) indicating that unless a proper handle is achieved quickly severe shortages of basic commodities will become apparent here in as little as 2-3 months. Apparently maritime workers are working out of contract and unable to leave their ships even though some have spent 14-17 months at sea with out any break. Trucking has been seriously effected due to border closures etc...