Of course it is. As tragic as the unfolding continues to be, the sooner it is recognized the better. What the USA has blundered into in ignorance will require gaining new understanding in order to extricate ourselves. This understanding may come very hard to us. We also will need incredible restraint (gained through understanding) in order to weather the terrific blowback that likely coming- regionalization of this war, and serious geoeconomic distruption. The greater our situational awareness now, the better our chances for achieving the best outcome. We do have to face certain facts now:
" So, is it a civil war yet?"
civ·il war (plural civ·il wars) noun - war within country: a war between opposing groups within a country
This definition sadly applies to Iraq now, because all 3 elements are apparent: (1) War, (2)Opposing domestic groups, and (3)Fighting between them.
While major media de-emphasizes the rapidly-multiplying Iraqi militia, you can still learn about a few active examples:
PUK/Peshmerga Kurdi/Ansar al-Islam
Sadr/Mahdi Army
SCIRI / Badr Brigade
Jaish Ansar al-Sunnah
Jaish al-Islami fiil-Airaq
Moqawama al-Islamiya al-Wataniya
al-Tawhid wal-Jihad
Anbar Revoltionaries
Asaeb Ahl el-Iraq
ar-Rayat as-Sawda
al-Haqq
al-Awda
Abu Theeb
Hamzah
There are probably more factions than I found in a quick search, certainly many more than the major media informs us of. Scarcely reported, but also verifiable, is the fact that various of these have been fighting one another since the US invasion. Much of the early violence was carried out through manipulation of occuuption forces who eagerly attacked opponents of a series of parties who held Washington's ear (Chalaby, Allawi). Now that US forces are increasingly bogged down, sectarian attacks are becoming more direct. -But scarcely covered in the media.
In partial defense of abyssmal media coverage, Iraq is a far more dangerous place for journalists than was (for example) Lebanon in 1975. As Lebanon descended into civil war -even throughout the entire horror- Western journalists traveled and mingled far more openly than they can in Iraq today. The difference is that Iraq is gripped by a "supercharged" civil war, that is focused under and powered by even more intense regional and global tensions than Lebanon fell victim to. Already in the teeth of this perfect storm, Iraq has had no opportunity to decompress from Saddam's iron-fisted suppression of sectarian conflicts.
There is institutional denial over the Iraqi civil war, because the implications are frankly horrific. Catering to a poorly-informed audience, "infotainment"-style media has no time nor inclination to explain the complexities of how and why things are unravelling. The most convenient shorthand, much encouraged by the architects of this war, is to ignore the internal Iraqi conflict that has been ignited at all cost... Ignore the historical and ethnical background, ignore the regional dangers, and instead remain fixed upon the ever-changing spin coming from Washington and London.
But harsh reality will not be denied. A significant aspect of present reality is that no "nation-building" objectives can be accomplished by US forces in Iraq. American and British troops are being largely garrisoned, because their presence is indisputably insufficient for suppression of resistance and civil war, while obtrusive enough to be vulnerable and incendiary. US-sponsored forces such as the new Iraqi national army and police are hopelessly infiltrated by the militias. They are being looted of intelligence and equipment, while ending up incapable of remaining cohesive under combat. There is in reality no means for effectively putting out the fire of civil war in Iraq.
Nor have coalition forces been necessarily delaying the inevitable. Past conflicts holding immense global implications have typically presented an initial "phoney war" period, where not much seems to be happening. The seemingly isolated bombings, kidnappings, thefts, imbezzlements, border infiltrations, skirmishes, etc. are exactly the kind of prelude that was seen in the Lebanese war. In a similar background, a multitude of militias have been very busy over the past 3 years probing friends and foes, recruiting, securing funding, and arming up. Not a lot is presented for sensationalist headlines, save sporadic bombings. But this does not mean nothing of significance is occuring.
Our headlines consistently fail to connect the dots between rising tensions involving Shi'a and Sunni across the region. Headlines fail to follow the political and ethnic fault-lines that continue beyond the southern border of Iraq, to where there are fire-fights in the streets of Riyadh, and attempts made on critical petroleum choke-points. Headlines fail to recognize that we are witnessing the precipitous destabilization of the entire Gulf Region.
Like the Sorceror's Apprentice, the Bush Administration has in ignorance set many troublesoome things in motion while lacking the experience and awareness to deal with the multiplying consequences. And the Bush Administration consistently attempts to deny, and distract the world from the unfolding disaster: "What civil war?" "What regional destabilization" "What incitement to chaos"? This consistent refusal to address reality illustrates a profound failure of leadership, and the emptiness of the neoconservative mideast strategy. The result will be a very rude awakening for those who still give these collossal bunglers the benefit of the doubt.
Who will ultimately pick up the pieces? You and I. So let's pay close attention. -And let's not get fooled again.