Global warming is it really happening

BatM,

The Marshall Institute has a reputation (although it tries to live it down) of being pro-business and, thus, more likely to develop reports that discredit global warming.
...
What do you think?

As I've already mentioned, I concur. They are clearly a libertarian organization, and as much is clearly visible in their speeches/papers alone.

kmguru,

Both pro and con group use technical knowledge as the basis to argue their points but they intentionally leave out stuff that does not favor them.

Bring it on. Personally, I accept limitations and uncertaintines of current knowledge. That does not prevent me from arguing for caution on a credible basis.

edufer,

Warmer temperatures increase CO2 production as your beloved "biomass" (all green stuff on Earth) have a negative oxygen balance, that is, the green cover produces more CO2 than it absorbs.

Negative oxygen balance means it emits oxygen. Well, DUH! If it didn't, we wouldn't have any to breathe. It absorbs CO2 and uses it in combination with water to synthesize hydrocarbons (sugars), emitting O2. Where did you think the carbon in hydrocarbons comes from? How did you think carbon dating works?

Don’t you believe it? Ask Bert Bolin, head of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the people pushing for the Kyoto Treaty). He made the discovery back in the 80s... Forest do contribute to global warming, like it or not.

I only tend to believe in things which I don't know for certain are false.

You have a fundamental misunderstanding of the results you mentioned. Carbon sequestered through photosynthesis is subsequently consumed by plants and animals, and quite a bit of it returns back to the atmosphere as: animals inhale oxygen and exhale CO2 containing carbon they've previously ingested from food, decaying biomatter tends to release CO2 and methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) which is itself a potent greenhouse gas (though it doesn't last very long in the atmosphere), fires release CO and CO2 into the atmosphere as part of the combustion process. The sequestration of carbon from atmosphere through photosynthesis and subsequent return of carbon to atmosphere through respiration constitutes what is known as "carbon cycle". As such, forests could never sustain a net output of CO2, as eventually there would be nothing left to burn. There can be spikes of net CO2 output from forests, as they reach a point of saturation where they can't absorb any more CO2 than they already do and the built-up biomatter in the forests decays en masse.

So generally I think that using forests as "carbon sinks" is a ridiculous and mostly political portion of the Kyoto treaty that accomplishes little. What small effect it could have would consist of re-forestation of deforested areas, but this would be peanuts compared to the annual production of extra CO2 from fossil fuels.

However, this does not detract from the fact that extra CO2 in the atmosphere serves as a fertilizer to stimulate an overall "greening" of the planet. Note that vegetation tends to stabilize and on average increase atmospheric moisture. You have yourself noted that water vapor is a potent greenhouse gas. So there you have it: a greener planet might eventually lead to even faster warming, even despite massive deforestation in some countries. Deforestation, however, has its own massively negative effects. From local climate instability and possibly local droughts, to loss of biodiversity, to soil erosion and dust bowls, to poor water and air quality. So if you think that third-world countries are being served well by getting stripped of their forests then you are on the side of degeneration and exploitation, not progress.

Warmer oceans DO NOT absorb more CO2. On the contrary, cold oceans absorbs more CO2 than warmer ones.

On further reflection, I retract that point as I'm not sure what the net effect would be. You are right, colder water absorbs and retains more CO2 (e.g. heating up a carbonated beverage will cause an accelerated release of CO2) and I neglected that effect. However, the layer of water actually warmed up is very thin and located at the ocean surface. Plus, warmer oceans encourage algal growth and algae sequester CO2. I was also thinking of temperature-driven oceanic circulation. As surface temperatures increase this circulation must accelerate. Summing it all up, I'm not sure what the net effect on CO2 would be from warmer oceans. Perhaps you're right and warmer oceans release more CO2 into the atmosphere. If so, then this compounds the problem and accelerates the warming even more!

Firstly, the infrared (I.R.) absorption band of CO2 lie in the 12-16 micron wavelength band. The wavelength of strongest I.R. emission from polar ice lies in or near this band. This means that CO2 has its greatest absorption of I.R. radiation at near sub-zero temperatures.

This is some breathtaking bunk.

First of all, when it comes to infrared emission from liquid water or other sundry chemicals of the oceans or from the various chemical compounds of dry land (vegetation-covered or not), we are clearly not talking about IR emission from (mostly pure-water) ice! Different chemical compounds in different states (solid/liquid/gas/plasma) have different emission/absorption spectra. In fact, that's how astronomers can remotely determine chemical compositions and even states of matter via spectroscopy millions of lightyears away from the source.

Secondly, you ought to know that blackbody radiation (which is what heat is) has a characteristic unimodal spectrum that is in shape reminiscent of a skewed bell curve. e.g. see here:

http://www.astronomynotes.com/light/s4.htm

The curve has a long tail toward longer wavelengths, so shifting the peak slightly toward shorter wavelength does not eliminate emission at longer wavelengths. On the contrary, by increasing temperature emission at all wavelengths (including all longer ones) is boosted!

At temperatures around 15°C (the average surface temperature of the Earth), the strongest emission wavelength is around 10 microns

The 10 micron peak is derived from a blackbody spectrum for a temperature of 288°K (15°C) (see above.) Conveniently, there's a simple equation (Wien's law) that gives the relationship between peak emission wavelength and temperature of a blackbody. Simply, it's approximately 2898(micron-kelvins)/T(kelvins).

The most powerful greenhouse gas in the atmosphere is water vapor representing over 90% of the natural greenhouse effect.

You bet. Now tell me please: what would happen to atmospheric concentrations of water vapor if surface temperatures were to increase? Might that, by any chance, have a feedback effect with surface temperatures?

Water vapor shares many overlapping absorption bands with CO2 and therefore an increase or decrease in CO2 has little effect on the overall rate of IR absorption in those overlapping regions.

Last time I checked, we were not artificially raising or lowering atmospheric concentrations of water vapor. So, you can assume those to be globally constant on average. We are, however, artificially raising CO2 concentrations. Effects are cumulative, so if you add a constant and a variable you still get a variable.

Come on, overdoze, if you know about science you know correlation does not equals causality. All people that eatwill die, so there is a strong correlation between eating tomatoes and dying -but there is no causality there: eating tomatoes will not kill you (even if they are GM tomatoes). Please try to stay at a scientific level in a scientific discussion.

This is demagoguery. While correlation is not a sufficient condition for causality, it is certainly a necessary one. Regardless, there is quite a difference between your tomato example and a graph spanning hundreds of millennia at high resolution showing a close match between two curves. In the latter case, you can't help but conclude the two are causally related. You may try and debate as to which causes which, but there is no question that there is a causal link. And even aside from all that, if you were to follow your argument to its logical conclusion then no experiment could ever provide any useful information.

The mentioned "Cornell University" website is not officially supported by Cornell University, but by a program by some students and professor there -a personal website.

http://www.ccmr.cornell.edu/~plh2/group/glblwarm/

It is a website for a course being taught at Cornell. Far from being a "personal website", it is course materiel for Cornell students. If this was not scientifically sound, I doubt it would be contained in an official course. The particular source of the graphs is referenced as:

"Managing Planet Earth, Scientific American, Freeman 1990, ISBN 0-7167-2108-2"

If you do a search with the above string in Google, you'll see that many other university courses require and/or reference this material as well.

Read the news? What about Enron?. It supported the Kyoto Treaty. What about Atlantic Richfield Corp? What about DuPont? What about Imperial Chemical Industries (ICI)? I can mention a long list of industries and oil companies that finance the greens. And many (hundreds) Foundations too. Just ask me.

More garbage.

First of all and FYI, Kyoto Treaty does not equal "the greens". Let's just get that one straight at least. It may be a start in the right direction, but most greens would agree it is ineffectual on too many levels and heavily watered down due to industry lobbying as well as aggressive US rejection of the treaty with Australia following suit and Canada/Japan/Russia seizing the window of opportunity to press a better deal for themselves. It is an extremely flawed treaty and in a large part it's flawed due to the reactionary US reversal.

Enron might support the Kyoto Treaty because it was an energy and commodity trading company. It was not actually involved in generation or exploration. Nor was it an industrial outfit.

ARCO is a fossil fuel juggernaut. It would be one of the hardest hit if the world switched away from fossil fuels.

DuPont is pushing renewable fuels (for example, ethanol) and I compliment them for that. I can see how they might give indirect support to the greens in this narrow area due to their own corporate agenda. However, most of their products and industries are negatively impacted by environmental regulations and the green movement. They are constantly fighting off or settling environmental lawsuits.

Ditto for ICI.

The greens hate these companies, and wouldn't take any money from them under any circumstances. You must be wearing some seriously warped eyeglasses to see the world in such a twisted way as to allege an alliance between these companies and the green movement. For just one example, see this page from Greenpeace and tell me which fossil fuel company might have paid for it:

http://archive.greenpeace.org/~climate/climatecountdown/subsidy_scandal.htm

Global means "everywhere", as a result of the sum of temperatures all over the world. Looking at temperatures taken by satellites and radio sondes all over the world you’ll see that the present trend seems to be towards cooling, not warming. Take a look for yourself: http://www.john-daly.com/stations/stations.htm

Astonishingly, you manage to contradict yourself within a single paragraph. I've already given you a link to NOAA data where you can see the trends for yourself. I'm sure there are plenty of objective sources on the Internet in addition to NOAA (which only covers US.) The website you linked to selects choice outliers as "proof" there is no global warming. Excuse me while I laugh...

Platinum mining was not faring too well before they launched the Clean Air Act scare, forcing all cars in the world to use platinum mesh for the catalytic converters. Rio Tinto Zinc (RTZ) Corp. belongs to the British Crown, and is run by Prince Charles and his brother Prince Andrew.

FYI, platinum was always more precious than gold even as jewelry material. Regardless of catalytic converters. So I seriously doubt platinum mining would have been in trouble without them or saved because of them.

Besides that, I can't believe you're going to argue against catalytic converters. This is one case where you can actually see and smell the difference. Of course, for all I know you inhale car exhaust daily to get high or something. Would explain a bit of your posting here...

Greenpeace explicitly rejects all funding from governments or corporations; it is entirely member-supported and relies heavily on volunteers.

Friends of the Earth International (largest environmental NGO in existence) is mainly supported through membership fees and donations, with a total budget in 2000: US$724,000

It goes backwards: the green movement have its roots in the philosophy that made possible the Zyklon-B gas madness.

Good grief. :rolleyes: Which philosophy are you talking about? Naturalists were around way before fascism was a twinkle in Mussolini's eye. They were around way before Nietzsche.

Lockheed Corp. just bribed Prince Bernhard -a Great Green- for selling F-104 jet fighters to the Dutch Air Force. That shoes you the moral integrity of a Great Green, an integrity shared by most Green Leaders.

I can't believe how naive you are. Do you really think that only green politicians lack moral integrity? Do you even imagine green politicians have less moral integrity than other politicians? What do corrupt politicians have to do with grassroots movements?

On the other hand, Dr. Joseph Scotto, from the American Cancer Society got his grants revoked because he dared to publish a study in Science (1985) showing that UV radiation in the US had decreased by 7% between 1975-1984 -contrary to all prophecies that UV radiation would increase due to the Ozone layer destruction.(J. Scotto et al., "Biologically Effective Ultraviolet Radiation: Surface Measurements in the United States, 1974-1985", Science, Feb. 12, 1988). Read and weep...

Weep indeed. This study used data from heavily industrial cities which (during the relevant time period) had heavy and growing air pollution and smog, and high concentrations of ground-level ozone (all of which tend to block UV.) Scotto is an epidemiologist, not climate scientist; it was never his goal to objectively monitor global ozone levels -- the measurements he performed related to his investigation of skin cancer rates in 8 "representative" US cities.

Ozone depletion is a global phenomenon, but manifests itself most heavily at high latitudes. Hence the Antarctic & Arctic ozone holes. But the fear is/was that these events could either spread out to or eventually start to occur at lower latitudes. Both fears have basis in fact:

http://www.esa.int/export/esaCP/ESAHFRQQSTC_index_0.html
http://i115srv.vu-wien.ac.at/UV/uv_o3_hole99.html
http://users.rcn.com/jkimball.ma.ultranet/BiologyPages/O/Ozone.html

Overall, growing ozone holes at high latitudes were indicative of general ozone depletion throughout the atmosphere. For more information, see the website of the original ozone hole discoverers:

http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/Key_Topics/The_Ozone_Hole/index.html

This is another pretty good (and often quoted) Cambridge University site:

http://www.atm.ch.cam.ac.uk/tour/index.html

You must separate politics from science. They can never walk the same path.

You should take your own advice.

Scientists have the answer: they determined that during the Creataceus period (about 60-90 million years ago) COO2 concentrations went down from 6,000 ppm to 2,600 ppm. During that period temperatures were just 1,5°C higher than today. Draw your own conclusions.

My own conclusions: what the hell are you talking about?? If CO2 concentrations went down and temperature was actually higher, then what conclusion am I supposed to draw again? That the temperature was higher due to some factor other than CO2? Ok, granted. *shrugs*

On the other hand, I'd like to see some sources for your figures. Because according to all the sources I was able to find, CO2 concentrations during the Cretacious were indeed extraordinarily high (I never saw estimates as high as 6000 ppm though.) But guess what, sea levels were hundreds of feet higher than today, and surface temperatures were considerably more than 1.5°C higher than today (ranges from 5 to 20 degrees, depending on the point in time; plus generally much greater effects at higher latitudes) -- which go hand-in-hand.

http://www.geosc.psu.edu/~engelder/geosc20/lect17.html
http://www.tulane.edu/~sanelson/geol111/globalchange.htm
http://www.auburn.edu/~kingdat/chap10.htm

As 6.000 ppm of CO2 did not unbalance the climate in the Cretaceus, there is no compelling reason to believe that an increase from 370 ppm to 700 ppm will unbalance the climate at all. So caution has no reasonable place here.

Again, sources? And, Cretaceous climate was unbalanced. It was much warmer and much wetter all over the planet, and ocean levels were a hundred meters (at least!) higher than today. If they were to rise even 10 meters right now, huge areas of valuable coastal and low-lying real estate such as coastal plains, wetlands and river deltas would be ocean floor. Not to mention that certain nations and most atolls would altogether disappear under water.

From there was born the theory of the "controlled destruction of the economies of the developing countries" being carried since 1974 by the heads of the US Federal Reserve Bank.

Even if this were so, what bearing does that have on climate change? Though let me tell you that I don't buy your genocidal conspiracy bit at all. Even though it's obvious that the western world has had no vested interest in helping the developing countries along. Perhaps with the emergence of global terrorism and international crime, global corporate concerns, as well as a growing global green lobby, the western world will finally have an incentive.

Catalytic converters have nothing to do with leaded fuels...

You completely missed the point. I was not trying to somehow link catalytic converters to lead. I was merely listing some of the benefits of environmental regulation. Unleaded gasoline is one of those benefits.

http://msnbc.com/local/pencilnews/393218.asp Alaska’s Hubbard Glacier advances rapidly, turning Russell Fiord into Russell Lake - By Jon E. Miller, special to PencilNews - YAKUTAT, Alaska, July 15- "The advancing Hubbard Glacier in Alaska has nearly cut off Russell Fiord from salt water, endangering the small fishing village of Yakutat as well as local wildlife."

"Not the first time
Hubbard Glacier last blocked Russell Fiord in 1986. ..." -- from that same story.

This one seems to be periodic. Your point?

<a href="http://www.john-daly.com/polar/arctic.htm">The Top of the World: Is the North Pole Turning to Water?</a> - (2 Feb 2001) Water at the North Pole was big news in August 2000. Was it just another media scare story, or is the Arctic sea ice really disappearing? This report details the whole issue of Arctic sea ice.

Well, if it isn't the very page where you've gratuitously plagiarized from in this post.

Also: See this BBC report on Arctic Sea Ice - http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/1311007.stm

I see it appears to cast doubt on some news stories from two years prior. Frankly, I wonder why you bother. I thought you wanted to discuss things on a scientific level, yet there you go analyzing the sensationalist press. But if you wish to go there, note that this "BBC report" is basically inconclusive; its only real message goes along the lines of, "let's wait for some fresh satellite data."

Personally, I wouldn't expect the ice packs to melt right now since global warming is just picking up. These effects take time to develop.

"The `Hockey Stick":- A New Low in Climate Science (12 Nov 2000)

More John Daly. But this time, he seems to actually make some sense. I'll grant him as much. For now, I'll agree with him that the "hockey stick" is flawed. I'll even grant him that the sun influences average surface temperatures on Earth.

What I don't understand, though, is how any of that could be used to dismiss the additional contribution of atmospheric CO2. If CO2 by itself causes a warming, and then we compound that with a sun whose activity is probably going to increase then we've exacerbated the problem. Tell me where I'm wrong.

me:
Atmospheric CO2 concentrations have been dramatically boosted in the last couple of centuries and continue to increase exponentially! You have proof against that?

you:
Perhaps. Accurate measurement of temperature only began in the 19th century, patchily at first, becoming more global in the 20th century. ...

??? Atmospheric CO2 concentrations have been dramatically boosted in the last couple of centuries and continue to increase exponentially! You have proof against that?

Examples of faulty science, blah blah blah

In the future, URL links to John Daly's pages will suffice. You don't need to plagiarize his material and fill the thread with it. TIA

As for faulty science, I accuse him of the same crime. You have yourself presented graphs (doubtless quoted from his website) previously in this thread that were limited in scope and/or time as if they were representative of global or even regional trends. I've pointed you to official data sources that are "high quality" even by your standards. Apparently instead of investigating them, you posted gobs of Daly in "response". Well, at least one of us is reading the other's references.

me:
Venus is 900 degrees Fahrenheit at the surface due to a runaway greenhouse effect. You have proof against that? How about "undeniable evidences"?

you:
If you know the basic facts about astronomy and planet formation, you surely know that the "runaway greenhouse effect" in Venus is not due to CO2...

If you knew that, then you were being dishonest. If you didn’t know it, you were trying to make a point based on a misconception (or ignorance?). Now you have learnt something new. A step forward to knowledge.

Did I say the greenhouse effect on Venus was due entirely or even mostly to CO2? Once again, you completely missed the point. Which was, of course, that there is indeed such a thing as a runaway greenhouse effect and also such a thing as greenhouse gases.
 
Overdoze...

Overdoze:

Negative oxygen balance means it emits oxygen. Well, DUH! If it didn't, we wouldn't have any to breathe. It absorbs CO2 and uses it in combination with water to synthesize hydrocarbons (sugars), emitting O2. Where did you think the carbon in hydrocarbons comes from? How did you think carbon dating works?
<b>NEGATIVE</B> oxygen balance means <B>less oxygen produced</B> Most oxygen in Earth is produced by pytoplankonts in the cold oceans (about 95% of it), while all green stuff produces about 3 – 5 % (during the growing stage of the plant) Once the forests and trees reach their “adult” age, they have a negative oxygen balance (they produce more CO2 than they absorb). Carbons in hydrocarbons come from CO2 and other sources, of course. Carbon dating works measuring the half life of Carbon-14 isotope contained in ancient organic stuff, of course. Happy now?
What small effect it could have would consist of re-forestation of deforested areas, but this would be peanuts compared to the annual production of extra CO2 from fossil fuels.
You are absolutely right here (the reforestation thing, I mean) but you are just guessing at the amounts of CO2 produced by man and nature: if it serves of anything, here are a brief sample of data (available from IPCC and other sources):

<b><font size=4>Annual Fluxes of CO2 to the Atmosphere</b></font>

<b>Natural Sources:</B>
&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Oceans: 106 gigatons
&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Land: - - 63 gigatons

<B>Human Sources</B>

&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;Fossil fuels and agriculture: 6 gigatons

(1 gigaton = 1,000 million tons)

So if you think that third-world countries are being served well by getting stripped of their forests then you are on the side of degeneration and exploitation, not progress.
No, I am not suggesting stripping forests away. I am suggesting a “sustainable logging” of forests: cut old trees (not oxygen producers) and plant new trees (oxygen producers). Forests must be preserved for other ecological reasons, as you correctly mentioned.
Perhaps you're right and warmer oceans release more CO2 into the atmosphere. If so, then this compounds the problem and accelerates the warming even more!
You keep forgetting that CO2 is a lousy greenhouse gas. Remember that pleoclimatic studies showed that when CO2 levels were about 6,000 ppm during the Ordovician period, temperatures were only 1,5°C higher than today. Forget CO2 please! And while methane was increasing in the early 70s, it has leveled now, so methane is not a problem any more.
This is some breathtaking bunk.
You think so? I don’t (as thousand of other informed people do).
You bet. Now tell me please: what would happen to atmospheric concentrations of water vapor if surface temperatures were to increase? Might that, by any chance, have a feedback effect with surface temperatures?
-----------------
Although this subject deserves a much longer explanation, I’ll try to give the basis of this matter: Dr. Sherwood Idso, a well known climatologist, when working in the Water Conservation Laboratory in Phoenix, Arizona, back in the seventies, elaborated a theory about the effect of increasing CO2, water vapor and increasing temperatures. He calculated a <b>“response function” </B> of about 0,113°C that would tell us how temperature will answer to an increase of CO2. Making a long story short, Idso found that the mean answer function could no be higher than 0,113°C by watt by square meter. (0,113°C w/m2). Suppose that CO2 concentrations increase from 300 to 600 ppm, then Idso multiplied 2,28 w/m2 by the response function of 0,113 and obtained an increase of 0,25°C as the global increase.

Answering some objections from other scientists (Stepehen Schneider, Kellog, and Ramanathan) about a “feedback” mechanisms, Idso refuted their objections by showing that for a 15°C temperature the increase in the water vapor pressure caused by an 0,25°C increase is of 0.2 hectopascal. This in time produces an additional “greenhouse effect” enough to cause another temperature increase of only 0,07°C –and this increase, sending more water vapor to the atmosphere, causes a further increase of only 0,01°C in global temperatures. We have rapidly reached the point where the positive feedbacks become smaller and smaller, that even accounting for this extra effect, the increase of temperatures for a doubling of CO2 concentrations would only render a 0.3°C.

With a temperature increase, there will be increased water vapor in the atmosphere, of course, but water vapor has the habit of becoming clouds that block sunlight, cooling the Earth. Water is Nature’s built-in thermostat. But, as explained by Dr. Idso, there is a point where feedback become negligible.
We are, however, artificially raising CO2 concentrations. Effects are cumulative, so if you add a constant and a variable you still get a variable.
Compare the amounts: human = 6 gigatons . Mother Nature = 169 gigatons.
Blame Mother Nature for the alleged mild (and natural) warming, not man
While correlation is not a sufficient condition for causality, it is certainly a necessary one. Regardless, there is quite a difference between your tomato example and a graph spanning hundreds of millennia at high resolution showing a close match between two curves.
Got you there. If you look at graphs of CO2 levels an temperatures during the las milenium, you can see there is the strongest correlation possible <b>between temperatures and CO2.</b> But a closer look will show that CO2 levels <b>LAG BEHIND TEMPERATURES</b> by some <B>CENTURIES</B> proving that <b>Temperatures caused an increase in CO2</b> and not the opposite. I'll find the corresponding graph and will post it here for your analysis.
“Astonishingly, you manage to contradict yourself within a single paragraph” … “The website you linked to selects choice outliers as "proof" there is no global warming. Excuse me while I laugh...
I can’t see the contradiction, though. And you linked me to Greenpeace. We are both laughing --and unfortunately, environmentalism is not a laughing matter, it kills people.
And you call <b>outliers</b> respected scientists as Dr. Richard Lindzen, (Ntnl. Acad. Of Sciences) Dr. Fred Singer, Dr. Dr. Frederick Seitz (Ntnl. Acad. Of Sciences), Dr. Theodor Landscheidt , etc. Well, you surely have strong and well based proofs of your accusation. I would like to hear about them (and not just “they are in the Oil industry payroll”). Let’s be serious.
Besides that, I can't believe you're going to argue against catalytic converters. This is one case where you can actually see and smell the difference. Of course, for all I know you inhale car exhaust daily to get high or something. Would explain a bit of your posting here...
Just read the next post. I will post an excerpt of Chapter 4: “Leaded Fuels”, from my book <b>“Ecology: Myths and Frauds”</b>, If you want to read the full chapter (adapted with special permission from an article by <b>Dr. Zbigniew Jaworoski</b>, former head of the UNSCEAR (the UN Scientific Committee on Effects of Atomic Radiations) go to this link:
http://mitosyfraudes.8k.com/INDICE/Chap4-LEAD.htm
Greenpeace explicitly rejects all funding from governments or corporations; it is entirely member-supported and relies heavily on volunteers... Friends of the Earth International (largest environmental NGO in existence) is mainly supported through membership fees and donations, with a total budget in 2000: US$724,000
Have you seen their books? How could you do it, if they refuse to show their incomes to nobody, even they “donors”. Ask Franz Kotte, former Greenpeace Inernational accountant in chief about the Swiss banks accounts the “leaders” of Greenpeace have. He already gave the numbers to the press back in the early 90s. Ask Why former Greenpeace Norway president Björn Oekern, when canceling his membership in May 1992, and walking away (along with some 15.000 other Norwegian adherents) said: <b><I>“None of the money collected by Greenpeace was used for taking care of the environment … Greenpeace is a fascists organization”.</I></B>

A total yearly budget of $720.000? Who you think you are kidding??
I can't believe how naive you are. Do you really think that only green politicians lack moral integrity? Do you even imagine green politicians have less moral integrity than other politicians? What do corrupt politicians have to do with grassroots movements?
No. No. Grassroots movements are prone to demagogy –the best place for corruption and fast bucks.
Weep indeed. This study used data from heavily industrial cities which (during the relevant time period) had heavy and growing air pollution and smog, and high concentrations of ground-level ozone (all of which tend to block UV.) Scotto is an epidemiologist, not climate scientist; it was never his goal to objectively monitor global ozone levels -- the measurements he performed related to his investigation of skin cancer rates in 8 "representative" US cities.
So you call “heavily industrial cities” El Paso, Tx, Albuquerque, N.Mex., Tallahase, Fla. Forth Worth, Tx., Bismark, N.Dakota, Minneapolis, Minn, and Oakland, Cal.? What do you call then Pittsburgh, Detroit, etc.?

I would agree that Philadelphia has more industries than the others, but curiously, this “heavily industrialized” city is the one with less UV radiation decrease in Scotto’s study, contradicting your ‘hint’ that smog would reduce UV radiation. But the study by Scotto was finished when the Clean Air Act was in action and the sulphur oxides and particulate emissions had been reduced by more than 60% since its inception. Weep again.
Ozone depletion is a global phenomenon, but manifests itself most heavily at high latitudes. Hence the Antarctic & Arctic ozone holes. But the fear is/was that these events could either spread out to or eventually start to occur at lower latitudes. Both fears have basis in fact:
Ozone depletion is a localized effect recorded in the Antarctic during springtime, and caused but natural causes. There is no ozone depletion trend in any place in the world (other than natural and seasonal variations). BTW, your links “suck”.
Overall, growing ozone holes at high latitudes were indicative of general ozone depletion throughout the atmosphere. For more information, see the website of the original ozone hole discoverers:
I am sorry, but the original discoverer of the “ozone hole”, George Dobson, died many years before the internet was created, so there is no “original discoverers website”. They are impostors. BTW, did you know that the infamous “hole” was first recorded by George Dobson back in 1956, during the International Geophysical Year? And that the French scientists at the French station of Dumont D’Urville made the same “discovery” during the same year of 1956?. The British guys of 1985 are just phonies.
My own conclusions: what the hell are you talking about?? If CO2 concentrations went down and temperature was actually higher, then what conclusion am I supposed to draw again? That the temperature was higher due to some factor other than CO2? Ok, granted. *shrugs*
You seem to have trouble with reading. Read again (slowly this time):
<blockquote>“ Scientists have the answer: they determined that during the Creataceus period (about 60-90 million years ago) CO2 concentrations went down from 6,000 ppm to 2,600 ppm. During that period temperatures were just 1,5°C higher than today. Draw your own conclusions.
</blockquote>
Your conclusions should have been (in case your three neurons managed to make contact): That although CO2 levels were in the range of 2,6000 to 6,000 parts per million (while today they in the range of 370 ppm), nevertheless temperatures were barely 1,5°C higher <b>than today</b>, demonstrating there is no a cause-effect in CO2 and temperature increase.
Not the first time – “Hubbard Glacier last blocked Russell Fiord in 1986. ..." -- from that same story. This one seems to be periodic. Your point?
My point: glaciers are not “melting”. Most of them are advancing, in spite of all web links you could obtain from Greenpeace.
What I don't understand, though, is how any of that could be used to dismiss the additional contribution of atmospheric CO2. If CO2 by itself causes a warming, and then we compound that with a sun whose activity is probably going to increase then we've exacerbated the problem. Tell me where I'm wrong.
In insisting to believe that CO2 is an important greenhouse gas. It is not. Just that.
Did I say the greenhouse effect on Venus was due entirely or even mostly to CO2? Once again, you completely missed the point. Which was, of course, that there is indeed such a thing as a runaway greenhouse effect and also such a thing as greenhouse gases
Yes, you implied it. As the subject was CO2, the mention of CO2 in Venus along with the “runaway greenhouse” was implying CO2 was the culprit.

And there is <B>no "runaway greenhopuse effect" going on in Venus</B>. The fact is Venus is so close to the Sun that it receives more heat than the planet could ever posibble radiate back into space. Basic physics, you toddler!

------------------------------------

And John Daly and I are friends that work together in this “global warming” stupidity. I translate some of his articles into Spanish for publishing them into our website, and constantly interchange useful information, “plagiarizing” ourselves at will.

I just sent him the chronicles of the foundation of Santa Cruz de la Sierra, Bolivia in 1591 (a quite tropical region: 17°South) where the chronicler states something unbelievable to us: “Summers are mild and pleasant, but winters are harsh, when tree trunks split in half because the deep frosts in July.” This historically demonstrates the existence of the Little Ice Age, something that the IPCC has been trying to deny lately, in a frantic effort to keep Kyoto alive. Forget it, Kyoto is already a stiff mummy.
Frankly, I wonder why you bother.
You are absolutely right. There is no use in trying to give eyeglasses to somebody who insists on staying blind.

Bye!
 
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<b>Overdoze:</B> While correlation is not a sufficient condition for causality, it is certainly a necessary one. Regardless, there is quite a difference between your tomato example and a graph spanning hundreds of millennia at high resolution showing a close match between two curves ….
<b>Edufer:</B> Got you there. If you look at the following graph, you can see there is the strongest correlation possible <b>between temperatures and CO2.</b> But a closer look will show that CO2 levels <b>LAG BEHIND TEMPERATURES</b> by some <B>CENTURIES</B> proving that <b>Temperatures caused an increase in CO2</b> and not the opposite.
<center>
<img src=http://mitosyfraudes.8k.com/images-2/co2-temp.jpg width=400 height=450>
</center>
Here is one of hundreds of similar graphs that you can easily find in the web. At first glance you’ll think that CO2 increase was first, and then came the temperature increase. If you have a mouse with a “roller middle button” (as I do) you can place the cursor arrow in any temperature peak and roll the button up until you cross the CO2 line. Horror! It comes a couple of hundred years later! (This must be a dirty trick Edufer is playing on me).

Now, will you forget about the stupid global warming issue, once and for all?
 
Originally posted by Edufer

Here is one of hundreds of similar graphs that you can easily find in the web. At first glance you’ll think that CO2 increase was first, and then came the temperature increase. If you have a mouse with a “roller middle button” (as I do) you can place the cursor arrow in any temperature peak and roll the button up until you cross the CO2 line. Horror! It comes a couple of hundred years later! (This must be a dirty trick Edufer is playing on me).

Looks like a dirty trick to me! :bugeye:

I have a mouse with a roller ball and doing as you say does not show that big a difference between the lines (certainly not a clear difference). Plus, due to other things going on in the atmosphere at the time, you would not expect the lines to be exact mirrors of each other, but just "highly similar". Also, the X coordinates of the image is based in "thousands of years", so a difference of a couple hundred years could be attributed simply to graphing error.

In other words, where's the data upon which the graph is based? :confused:
 
Re: Overdoze...

Originally posted by Edufer
Once the forests and trees reach their “adult” age, they have a negative oxygen balance (they produce more CO2 than they absorb).

Where does the extra carbon released as CO2 come from. Balance the books, por favor.

No, I am not suggesting stripping forests away. I am suggesting a “sustainable logging” of forests: cut old trees (not oxygen producers) and plant new trees (oxygen producers). Forests must be preserved for other ecological reasons, as you correctly mentioned.

This is a pretty "green" statement. Good management of forests (including clearing of deadwood and fire preparedness) is sound policy. However, it might be hard to sustainably log forests without criss-crossing them with roads and severely damaging the forests in the process. New machinery is needed for this; several companies have already developed forest-friendly logging prototypes but in practice logging is still a thoroughly destructive enterprise. That needs to change.

You keep forgetting that CO2 is a lousy greenhouse gas.

Lousy or not, it's a greenhouse gas.

Remember that pleoclimatic studies showed that when CO2 levels were about 6,000 ppm during the Ordovician period, temperatures were only 1,5°C higher than today. Forget CO2 please!

http://www.marshall.org/Warming.html#Evidence

There is an explanation for this (see link) in terms of a specific distribution of landmass (with most of it ending up at polar latitudes.) Interesting that you switched from Cretaceous to Ordovician. What's the matter, Cretaceous doesn't fit your propaganda?

Although this subject deserves a much longer explanation, I’ll try to give the basis of this matter: Dr. Sherwood Idso, a well known climatologist...

We have rapidly reached the point where the positive feedbacks become smaller and smaller, that even accounting for this extra effect, the increase of temperatures for a doubling of CO2 concentrations would only render a 0.3°C.

Material quoted below obtained from the following URL: http://www.ucsusa.org/environment/gw.skeptorgs.html

Greening Earth Society [ http://greeningearthsociety.org ]

The Greening Earth Society (GES) was founded on Earth Day 1998 by the Western Fuels Association to promote the view that increasing levels of atmospheric CO2 are good for humanity. GES and Western Fuels are essentially the same organization. Both used to be located at the same office suite in Arlington, VA. Until December 2000, Fred Palmer chaired both institutions. The GES is now chaired by Bob Norrgard, another long-term Western Fuels associate. The Western Fuels Assocation (WFA) is a cooperative of coal-dependent utilities in the western states that works in part to discredit climate change science and to prevent regulations that might damage coal-related industries.



Spin: CO2 emissions are good for the planet; coal is the best energy source we have.

Affiliated Individuals: Patrick Michaels, Robert Balling, David Wojick, Sallie Baliunas, Sylvan Wittwer, John Daley, Sherwood Idso

Funding: The Greening Earth Society receives its funding from the Western Fuels Association, which in turn receives its funding from its coal and utility company members.

Further search for "Sherwood Idso" on the web reveals that he is active in multiple fossil industry interest groups, advocates that CO2 and fossil fuels are the best thing since apple pie, most if not all of his research funded by fossil fuel industries. Given his background, I have problems trusting his "science". And I certainly won't trust it until I see his experiments replicated by independent researchers. Also, I thought you disapproved of computational climate models?

With a temperature increase, there will be increased water vapor in the atmosphere, of course, but water vapor has the habit of becoming clouds that block sunlight, cooling the Earth. Water is Nature’s built-in thermostat.

Low-altitude clouds increase the greenhouse effect. Only high-altitude clouds serve to block sunlight. You'll have to convince me that high-altitude clouds must dominate.

Compare the amounts: human = 6 gigatons . Mother Nature = 169 gigatons.
Blame Mother Nature for the alleged mild (and natural) warming, not man

Mother Nature: 169 gigatons, constant.
Human: 6 gigatons, additional per year.

10 years: 60 additional gigatons (assuming current rates of output, which is extraordinarily conservative.)
30 years: 180 additional gigatons.

As you can see, it only takes a couple of decades for anthropogenic CO2 to completely dominate any natural emissions in the atmosphere. So, what was your point again?

But a closer look will show that CO2 levels <b>LAG BEHIND TEMPERATURES</b> by some <B>CENTURIES</B> proving that <b>Temperatures caused an increase in CO2</b> and not the opposite. I'll find the corresponding graph and will post it here for your analysis.

I'm still waiting for the graph, as well as hopefully some references or descriptions of how the data was obtained. Note that of the two graphs Bambi originally quoted from Cornell, the one on top is the same one as you've posted. Except slightly better as it doesn't stylize its graphics as much and sports higher resolution. Here they are again for the fourth time (I wonder how many more times it'll take before you actually bother to look at them):

CO2TEMP.GIF


Once again, I ask: take a look at the lower graph (where the time scale actually lends itself to your claim), and point out the lag of a few centuries for me because I don't seem to be able to discern it.

I can’t see the contradiction, though. And you linked me to Greenpeace.

I gave you a sample of their literature. Since you're so convinced they are driven by industry, I thought you might enjoy perusing their written material so as to confirm your conspiracy theory.

And you call <b>outliers</b> respected scientists as Dr. Richard Lindzen, (Ntnl. Acad. Of Sciences) Dr. Fred Singer, Dr. Dr. Frederick Seitz (Ntnl. Acad. Of Sciences), Dr. Theodor Landscheidt , etc.

Pardon me, but none of the selective graphs on Daly's website had any of the above names on them.

Just read the next post. I will post an excerpt of Chapter 4: "Leaded Fuels", from my book <b>"Ecology: Myths and Frauds"</b>...

You must be going senile. What do catalytic converters have to do with unleaded fuels, again? When I was mentioning these two items, it was not in a context of cause and effect but in the context of both being a result of environmental regulation. Get it through your thick skull: I never tried to and am not intending to claim that catalytic converters reduce lead exhaust from leaded gasoline. It's a ridiculous notion anyhow; that's not the reason for catalytic converters' existence. Catalytic converters dramatically reduce emissions of carbon monoxide, nitrous oxides and various complex hydrocarbons. Note: zero relationship to lead.

Have you seen their books? ... <I>"None of the money collected by Greenpeace was used for taking care of the environment ... Greenpeace is a fascists organization".</I></B>

No, I haven't seen their books. I'm not a member either. However, they do not accept donations from governments or corporations. That was the main point, in case you missed it.

A total yearly budget of $720.000? Who you think you are kidding??

That was for Friends of the Earth, not Greenpeace. It's published by them. If you have figures that disprove it, go right ahead and cite them.

No. No. Grassroots movements are prone to demagogy -the best place for corruption and fast bucks.

You must have never heard of industry interest groups. Oh wait, what am I saying. A good chunk of your information comes straight out of their mouths. :rolleyes:

So you call "heavily industrial cities" El Paso, Tx, Albuquerque, N.Mex., Tallahase, Fla. Forth Worth, Tx., Bismark, N.Dakota, Minneapolis, Minn, and Oakland, Cal.?

Yes, indeedy.

What do you call then Pittsburgh, Detroit, etc.?

More of the same.

I would agree that Philadelphia has more industries than the others, but curiously, this "heavily industrialized" city is the one with less UV radiation decrease in Scotto’s study, contradicting your ‘hint’ that smog would reduce UV radiation.

Smog does reduce UV radiation. It isn't a 'hint'; it's a fact. So does cloud cover and a number of other climate factors.

But the study by Scotto was finished when the Clean Air Act was in action and the sulphur oxides and particulate emissions had been reduced by more than 60% since its inception. Weep again.

Which one of the many Clean Air Acts are you referring to? Moreover, while emissions per unit have been decreased the number of units had grown due to expansion of economy. There are more cars on the roads even though each car is ecologically cleaner. Same thing for industrial exhausts.

Ozone depletion is a localized effect recorded in the Antarctic during springtime, and caused but natural causes. There is no ozone depletion trend in any place in the world (other than natural and seasonal variations). BTW, your links "suck".

Ozone depletion due to CFCs in the stratosphere is not a natural phenomenon, and had been quite well documented. NASA has an extensive portfolio of space-based studies of the whole process. CFCs have been outlawed for quite a while now. If they hadn't been, who knows what sort of trends we'd be seeing today.

As for sucking, sometimes reality tends to do that. Deal with it.

BTW, did you know that the infamous "hole" was first recorded by George Dobson back in 1956, during the International Geophysical Year? And that the French scientists at the French station of Dumont D’Urville made the same "discovery" during the same year of 1956?. The British guys of 1985 are just phonies.

References and graphs of antarctic ozone concentration, please. It's true that measurements in Antarctica started in 1956. Until early 1970s they hovered almost level, then began a steady decline. They are still declining:

http://www.atm.ch.cam.ac.uk/tour/tour_images/total_ozone.gif

BTW, if Cambridge University sucks too much for your tastes, I can't really help you. But just in case:

http://www.epa.gov/docs/ozone/science/glob_dep.html
http://www.iac.ethz.ch/en/research/chemie/tpeter/totozon.html#measurements
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2000/ast02oct_1.htm

You seem to have trouble with reading. Read again (slowly this time):
<blockquote> Scientists have the answer: they determined that during the Creataceus period (about 60-90 million years ago) CO2 concentrations went down from 6,000 ppm to 2,600 ppm. During that period temperatures were just 1,5°C higher than today. Draw your own conclusions.
</blockquote>

I think you've been confusing Cretaceous with Ordovician. Cretaceous period: 146-64 MYA. Ordovician: 505-440 MYA. Get it straight, granpa.

Your conclusions should have been (in case your three neurons managed to make contact): That although CO2 levels were in the range of 2,6000 to 6,000 parts per million (while today they in the range of 370 ppm), nevertheless temperatures were barely 1,5°C higher <b>than today</b>, demonstrating there is no a cause-effect in CO2 and temperature increase.

You should do more careful research. Most of the Ordovician was hot and moist, as is to be expected for such extraordinarily high CO2 levels. In late Ordovician, Gondwana settled on the South Pole and as a result global temperatures plunged and there was an "icebox" period.

So unless you are proposing that to compensate against our massive CO2 pollution we move all of our land masses to the arctic regions, you ought to be worried about climate implications of anthropogenic CO2.

My point: glaciers are not "melting".

That may be true. Probably. For now.

Most of them are advancing, in spite of all web links you could obtain from Greenpeace.

That's horseshit. And by the way, I'm not obtaining any information whatsoever from Greenpeace.

Yes, you implied it. As the subject was CO2, the mention of CO2 in Venus along with the "runaway greenhouse" was implying CO2 was the culprit.

Quote me mentioning CO2 in Venus. I dare you. However, now that I went and refreshed my memory it is true that Venutian atmosphere is 96% carbon dioxide, 3% nitrogen, 0.003% water vapor...

And there is <B>no "runaway greenhopuse effect" going on in Venus</B>. The fact is Venus is so close to the Sun that it receives more heat than the planet could ever posibble radiate back into space. Basic physics, you toddler!

Solar radiation intensity falls off as square of distance from the sun. If it weren't for a greenhouse effect, Venus ought to be 4 times cooler than Mercury as it's twice the distance from the Sun (approximately.) Average daytime surface temperature on Mercury: 350°C. Average surface temperature on Mercury (day/night): 179°C. Average surface temperature on Venus: 480°C. What it would be without atmospheric greenhouse effect (dividing absolute average temperature of Mercury by 4): -160°C. Total contribution of greenhouse effect: 640°C.

Basic physics, granpa. It seems there is no level of idiocy at which you would stop. Just as I suspected, all you care about is winning. You don't care whether you're right or wrong.
 
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Summing up

Overdoze, your data is improving, Your visit to the web has been fruitful. But this is not about wining or losing a discussion. Grandpa is beyond that (my grandson calls me that, so it is nice from you to remind me of my grandson). The issue here is “<B>debate</B>”. An exchange of opinions, some of them supported by facts, other just intuitive assumptions, many twisted arguments and lots of misconceptions and misinformation.

The important thing is acquiring new knowledge, because as we acquire knowledge we become aware of <B>how ignorant we are becoming.</B> How can this be? We can compare us with a pilot ready to board his plane (the learning process). The pilot’s horizon (his knowledge) is just what he can see, limited by the horizon at 16 km away. Once he’s on the air, the horizon becomes broader and he can see now up to 50 km. When reaching 10,000 meters, he can see up to 300 km, his horizon (knowledge) has extended to new limits … the astronauts have an horizon the size of the Earth. So, as we go up in the ladder to knowledge, we become aware that <B>what we ignore it’s getting bigger and bigger</B>, that there are infinite things that we ignored and probably will never learn.

Can infinite knowledge fit into finite neuronal connections? Is there a limit to knowledge? Just a practical one. The information enough to keep us and the rest of our fellow men alive in the best possible conditions. That includes the arts, and all spiritual stuff. Nice topic to discuss, don’t you think so? So, after this digression we can resume our business of debating a amusing subject: global warming and man-made CO2 as the culprit

The original topic was: <b>Is Global Warming Really Happening?</B> The scientific answer is: <b>Yes, there is a mild warming trend since the beginning of the 20th century</B>, (resulting from a rebound from the cooling of the Little Ice Age), that reversed severely by the 1940s, giving concern about an impending Global Cooling and, as late as July 9th, 1971, made Stephen Schneider, and Rasool S. publish a paper in <b></I>Science</I></B> magazine about:

<font size=4><b>Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide and Aerosols: Effects of Large Increases on Global Climate.</B></font>

where they state: (and I quote):
<blockquote>
<font color=blue><B>Abstract.</B> Effects on the global temperature of large increases in carbon dioxide and aerosol densities in the atmosphere of Earth have been computed. It is found that, although the addition of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere does increase the surface temperature, the rate of <b>temperature increase diminishes with increasing carbon dioxide</B> in the atmosphere. For aerosols, however, the net effect of increase in density is to reduce the surface temperature of Earth. Because of the exponential dependence of the backscattering, the rate of temperature decrease is augmented with increasing aerosol content. An increase by only a factor of 4 in global aerosol background concentration may be sufficient to reduce the surface temperature by as much as 3.5 deg. K. If sustained over a period of several years, such a temperature decrease over the whole globe <b>is believed to be sufficient to trigger an ice age.</B></font>
</blockquote>
Then, further on, Schneider said:
<font color=blue><blockquote>“How have these changes in the composition of the atmosphere affected the climate of the globe? More importantly, is it possible that a continued increase in the CO2 and dust content of the atmosphere at the present rate will produce such large-scale effects on the global temperature that the process may run away, with the planet Earth eventually becoming <b>as hot as Venus (700 deg. K.) or as cold as Mars (230 deg. K.)?</B></blockquote></font>

So they didn’t know anything. Then, improving on their ignorance, they continued:
<blockquote>
<font color=blue>“We report here on the first results of a calculation in which separate estimates were made of the effects on global temperature of large increases in the amount of CO2 and dust in the atmosphere. It is found that even an increase by a factor of 8 in the amount of CO2, <b>which is highly unlikely in the next several thousand years</b>, will produce an <B>increase in the surface temperature of less than 2 deg. K</b>.
</font></blockquote>
Few years later, when the warming scare was full steam ahead, they were claiming that temperatures would rise from 5 to 10°Centigrades, not Kelvin. And finally, they repeat themselves stating an apocalyptic prediction:
<blockquote><font color=blue>
However, the effect on surface temperature of an increase in the aerosol content of the atmosphere is found to be quite significant. An increase by a factor of 4 in the equilibrium dust concentration in the global atmosphere, which cannot be ruled out as a possibility within the next century, could decrease the mean surface temperature by as much as 3.5 deg. K. <B>If sustained over a period of several years, such a temperature decrease could be sufficient to trigger an ice age!</B></font>
</blockquote>
Since then, Schneider et al. changed horses amidst the river, and finally jumped on the warming bandwagon. He appeared in many TV talk shows saying what he said in an interview for “Discover” magazine, Oct, 1989:
<blockquote><font color=blue>
"To capture the public imagination, we have to offer up some scary scenarios, make simplified dramatic statements and little mention of any doubts one might have. Each of us has to decide the right balance between being effective, and being honest."</font>
</blockquote>

which was an excellent sample of “Green Ethics”.

And, quoting from John Daly’s page (so you’ll not accuse me of plagiarizing), he kept going:
<blockquote>
<font color=blue>For example, in a TV interview in 1990 to Britain's Channel 4, he remarked: </font>

<font color=#800000><I><B>"The rate of change is so fast that I don't hesitate to call it potentially catastrophic for ecosystems."</B></I></font>

Such a comment was quite wrong, climatically speaking, and blatantly alarmist.”

“Firstly, Schneider was not always promoting the idea of Global warming. Up to about 1978, Schneider was warning the world of an impending Global Cooling, leading to the next Ice Age !” … “Before Global Warming became the politically correct scientific fashion of the 1990s, the reverse situation existed in the 1970s, where it had become a scientific article of faith that the Ice Age was about to happen. Even the US National Academy of Sciences adopted this view.”
<center>

<font color=”#800000><B>"There is a finite possibility that a serious worldwide cooling could befall the Earth within the next 100 years."</B></font></center>
”Prof Patrick Michaels, now a prominent critic of the Greenhouse scare, was justifiably sceptical then, just as he is now:<center><font color=#800000><b>

"When I was going to graduate school, it was gospel that the Ice Age was about to start.
I had trouble warming up to that one too. This (greenhouse) is not the first climate apocalypse, but it's certainly the loudest”</B></font></center>

“Just as with Global Warming, we find Schneider in the vanguard of the Global Cooling doomsayers during the 1970s. It was only when global temperatures took an upward turn around 1980 that Schneider and others quickly made a career change and became passionate advocates of impending catastrophe, only this time from warming, not cooling. But then, opportunism is <b>a trait of politicians rather than scientists</b>.”</font></blockquote>
<font size=2>
End of quoting Daly’s page.

But then, you’ll say that Fred Singer and John Daly are being paid by the oil industry, the Marshall Institute, and other demonic groups. If a serial murderer agrees with me that 2 + 2 is equivalent to 4, that does not make a dent in the fact that 2 + 2 <b>really</b> equals 4. The moral traits of a person <b>have nothing to do with the truth he’s saying</B>. For avoiding “at hominem” attacks, you should concentrate on their opinions and scientific proofs they are providing, not in the man himself. Even in the remote case that the “warming skeptics” are paid by the callous industry, that does not make the slightest dent into the scientific facts they are showing to the public. Facts are facts, even if a moron is presenting them.

But you seem to be using a peculiar reasoning here: <I>“Industry is bad, then scientists being paid by it are also bad, so what they say must be a lie.”</I> On the other hand, you make a backward somersault and say: <I>“Saving the planet is a good mean, so people trying to save the planet are good, then lobbies paying scientists to save the planet must be good”</I>. You seem to forget that the transitive condition does not always apply in this kind of reasoning. That the road to hell is paved with “good intentions”. According to Hitler, eugenics and ethnic cleansing were something “good” and desirable things.

It is my opinion that most of things proposed by the “greens” are good and desirable, but I strongly disagree in the way they propose to achieve those desires, and strongly believe that the use they make of science is biased, when not blatantly fraudulent. Examples abound in this field, so there is not much sense in trying to give you the full list of them.

And what brought us here, “global warming”, you have not told us anything new (apart from a well know graph comparing CO2 and temperatures trends, <b>that show correlation but not causality</B> whatsoever), have not given us any scientific proof that a CO2 increase would cause a catastrophic rise in temperature – temperatures that otherwise were reached during the Medieval Warm Period of 800 – 1250 AD, period that was labeled by climatologists all over the world (before the warming scare racket was initiated) as the <B>Climatic Optimum.</B> The best temperatures possible for all living matter.

Your mention of Venus runaway greenhouse effect is irrelevant, because you did not take into account that Venus’ atmosphere is 90 times denser than Earth’s, making the pressure at the surface in the order of <b>119.70 kg/cm2,</B> (Earth’s is 1.33 kg/m2). Pressure increases temperature, so it is no wonder that Mars temperature are so low, because its atmosphere is extremely thin, although it is also mostly composed of CO2.

So I see no reason to keep informing you about scientific facts that disproves the threat of a catastrophic warming due to a doubling –or tripling- of CO2 in our atmosphere, because you dismiss them as coming from “paid liars” –as if warming “scientists” were not paid for their job in pushing a political agenda for something that could be labeled as “world governance”.

I know you’ll say <b>“Here comes the ‘conspiracy’ theory again!”</B>. Consider then that a “conspiracy” is when some people gather somehow discreetly in order to elaborate a plan that will give them more power or make them richer. Well, that’s what has been going in Earth’s history since the first “intelligent” man discovered he could convince others to work or do things in his behalf (give him more power or make him richer). He called some friends and said: “Let’s do It, let’s get richer”. And governments have been “conspiring” against other countries’ governments –and their people- for being more powerful or getting richer during the whole historical record. A quite human trait, though.

So conspiracies don’t exist, in your opinion. Forget known European 13th to 19th century history (full of conspiracies), but let’s stick to more recent events. What did the CIA do for overthrowing Salvador Allende in Chile, back in 1973? What would you call that? A poker game? What JFK did in 1962 for overthrowing Castro? A beach party? What has Osama bin Laden been doing lately? What most board directors do to oust their CEOs or overtake another company? What many wives did for killing their husbands and cashing their life insurance? This is getting funnier and funnier.

I would like to hear some opinions on this subject from other members of sciforums.

This topic has gotten a new twist.:D :p
 
Re: Summing up

Originally posted by Edufer
The original topic was: <b>Is Global Warming Really Happening?</B> The scientific answer is: <b>Yes, there is a mild warming trend since the beginning of the 20th century</B>, (resulting from a rebound from the cooling of the Little Ice Age),

The notion of a "mild warming trend" is inconsistent with the apparently exponential trend we are observing. Now, this exponent might be a fluke of the random fluctuations in the climate. Just as the cooling trend of the 1940s appear to be such a fluke (see the lower one of the pair of Cornell graphs.) However, plotted against the exponentially escalating CO2 concentration the overall trend doesn't look very random. And the ultimate question is: do we really have to take the chance? I'm all for recreational gambling, but gambling on the future of my children (or, as may be in your case, grandchildren) is not my idea of responsible behavior.

<blockquote><font color=blue>
It is found that, although the addition of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere does increase the surface temperature, the rate of <b>temperature increase diminishes with increasing carbon dioxide</B> in the atmosphere.
</font></blockquote>

That might be true, but the temperature still increases does it not? Where's the assymptotical limit? Is it close to modern levels/temperatures, or will it take us to a state where the ocean levels are 10 meters higher than today? 50 meters? 100 meters?

<blockquote><font color=blue>
For aerosols, however, the net effect of increase in density is to reduce the surface temperature of Earth.
</font></blockquote>

That's well known. However, you should note that aerosol emissions are always the first to be cut when cleaning up industry. Today's most significant aerosols probably come from massive burning of tropical forests as a method of "liberating" exceedingly poor agricultural real estate as well as other forest fires around the world. These must be, and will be, curtailed -- and probably much faster than the world's CO2 emissions.

So they didn’t know anything.

A lot of research has gone on since 1970s. And today, far from a few alarmists, there is a scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming. And this is not just on the part of UN or IPCC. A survey of scientific journals would show as much.

<blockquote><font color=blue>
It is found that even an increase by a factor of 8 in the amount of CO2, <b>which is highly unlikely in the next several thousand years</b>, will produce an <B>increase in the surface temperature of less than 2 deg. K</b>.
</font></blockquote>

Did you really have to go all the way back to the 1970s to dig out such a finding? What, more modern and accurate models don't produce results that suit your agenda?

Besides, "highly unlikely"? "In the next several thousand years"?? Based on what argument? Granted, a factor of 8 would clearly be catastrophic (just check out the climate history of the Cretaceous, which you confused with late Ordovician and sidestepped ever since.) Will a factor of 2 have no massive financial impact? How about a factor of 3? Do we take the chance just because we like our fossil fuel buddies more than the green "conspirators"?

Few years later, when the warming scare was full steam ahead, they were claiming that temperatures would rise from 5 to 10°Centigrades, not Kelvin.

FYI, a degree Centigrade (or Celcius) is exactly the same as a degree of Kelvin. The only difference between these two scales is the point designated as 0 degrees (Celcius 0 is distilled water at 1 atmosphere in equilibrium between solid and liquid forms; Kelvin 0 is the absolute lowest temperature in the universe, and unattainable in practice.)

And finally, they repeat themselves stating an apocalyptic prediction:
<blockquote><font color=blue>
However, the effect on surface temperature of an increase in the aerosol content of the atmosphere is found to be quite significant. An increase by a factor of 4 in the equilibrium dust concentration in the global atmosphere, which cannot be ruled out as a possibility within the next century, could decrease the mean surface temperature by as much as 3.5 deg. K. <B>If sustained over a period of several years, such a temperature decrease could be sufficient to trigger an ice age!</B></font>
</blockquote>

As you may have guessed, there is little if any ground for suspecting that there would be a factor of 4 increase in the equilibrium dust concentration of the atmosphere. In stark contrast, the situation with escalating CO2 content is clearly obvious for all to see.

Since then, Schneider et al. changed horses amidst the river, and finally jumped on the warming bandwagon.

They might have scientific reasons for doing that. Would you blame former Newton proponents for jumping on the Einstein "bandwagon"?

<blockquote><font color=blue>
"To capture the public imagination, we have to offer up some scary scenarios, make simplified dramatic statements and little mention of any doubts one might have. Each of us has to decide the right balance between being effective, and being honest."</font>
</blockquote>

which was an excellent sample of “Green Ethics”.

This is an excellent sample of politics as usual. Nothing ever gets done if the public is presented with objective truth. While a few thinking members of the public might understand a need for action, the rest of the moronic mob (which tends to be woefully science-illiterate -- especially in US! -- as well as incapable of critical thought when it doesn't have something to do with evolution or taxes) will collectively shrug and proceed to focus upon the latest sex scandal.

Now, if you purport to be a thinking individual, you should be capable of separating the wheat of scientific truth from the chaff of the political rhetoric. But quite on the contrary, all I see you doing is throwing the baby out with the bathwater.

<blockquote>
“Before Global Warming became the politically correct scientific fashion of the 1990s, the reverse situation existed in the 1970s, where it had become a scientific article of faith that the Ice Age was about to happen. Even the US National Academy of Sciences adopted this view.”
<center>

<font color=”#800000><B>"There is a finite possibility that a serious worldwide cooling could befall the Earth within the next 100 years."</B></font></center>
</blockquote>

First of all, you might realise that much of this global cooling "scare" occurred in the context of a real need to reduce particulate emissions. A scare would have been a great political tool to achieve this. Granted, admirable though the ends were, the means in this case might have been unethical. Welcome to politics. On the other hand, you might agree that if clean-air standards were never raised above those of nineteenth century, we'd all be walking around with respiratory disease from soot and air pollution and skin conditions from acid rain (among other ailments.) And under such conditions, even a global cooling might not have been out of the question. You should also keep in mind that the majority of the world's air pollution must eventually come from the developing world as it catches up with the industrialized nations. As a rule, third-world technologies tend to be a few levels dirtier -- which in itself evidences a need for pro-active western subsidies in an effort to help the third world quantum-leap the inefficient stages of development straight toward more environmentally friendly technologies and practices. This does not always work out well as we live and learn, and you might paint such failed efforts as genocidal and/or conspiratorial on behalf of the west against the third world. You're entitled to your opinion of course, but the western meddling in the developing world's affairs is for the most part well-intentioned.

Secondly, I have little doubt that given certain input parameters, even the NAS might have concluded there was a "finite possibility". One would have to question the underlying plausibility of those parameters in the first place, however. Note that this problem does not exist with CO2, as the parameters are hardly speculative but on the contrary readily observable.

<blockquote>
Just as with Global Warming, we find Schneider in the vanguard of the Global Cooling doomsayers during the 1970s. It was only when global temperatures took an upward turn around 1980 that Schneider and others quickly made a career change and became passionate advocates of impending catastrophe, only this time from warming, not cooling.
</blockquote>

Departures from the trend within narrow windows spanning a decade are a trite matter to begin with. Consider the trend itself (lower one of the 2 Cornell graphs I've been repeatedly referencing.)

Further note the CO2 trend. Recall our calculations of human input. Take a look at the upper Cornell graph and note that, at best, it's not clear whether CO2 drives temperature or the other way around. Even though logically speaking (CO2 being a greenhouse gas), the danger of climate warming due to anthropogenic CO2 is real.

But then, you’ll say that Fred Singer and John Daly are being paid by the oil industry, the Marshall Institute, and other demonic groups. If a serial murderer agrees with me that 2 + 2 is equivalent to 4, that does not make a dent in the fact that 2 + 2 <b>really</b> equals 4.

Question is: agrees with whom? So far the only one making the claim is the serial murderer. When the serial murderer tells you it's OK to kill people, how do you respond?

The moral traits of a person <b>have nothing to do with the truth he’s saying</B>.

Unless truth is what we are judging to begin with. Do you prefer to trust someone who has a demonstrable vested interest in seeing the "truth" come out a particular way, as opposed to a disinterested party? Do you trust a habitual liar to tell the truth? Remember the tobacco wars.

For avoiding “at hominem” attacks, you should concentrate on their opinions and scientific proofs they are providing, not in the man himself.

Opinion matters little. As for scientific proof... The way empirical science works, is that multiple and independent groups using different methodologies must converge on the same result. If that doesn't happen, then the result (or at least the interpretation of it) is not to be trusted. And especially if the ones with a controversial result are also clearly the ones who are not disinterested (i.e. funded by the very industrial sector which is to be severely impacted unless it defends itself) -- then there's all the more reason not to trust them.

Even in the remote case that the “warming skeptics” are paid by the callous industry, that does not make the slightest dent into the scientific facts they are showing to the public.

Remote case?? Please! The information is all over the web (yes, even the web!) You'd have to be blind (or lazy, or worse: disingenuous) not to notice it.

Scientific facts are not scientific until replicated and accepted through consensus. Even then there's always room for doubt, reasonable or otherwise. However, policy decisions are rarely ever based on 100% indisputable facts. In an uncertain atmosphere, one has to aim for the lesser of potential evils.

Facts are facts, even if a moron is presenting them.

Far more dangerous than a moron is a clever liar with self-interest at stake. Facts are nothing; they can be lies, fabrications, illusions, misinterpretations, partial, selective, misstated, misquoted, unreproducible. Facts must be grounded in science before they have any value whatsoever.

But you seem to be using a peculiar reasoning here: <I>“Industry is bad, then scientists being paid by it are also bad, so what they say must be a lie.”</I> On the other hand, you make a backward somersault and say: <I>“Saving the planet is a good mean, so people trying to save the planet are good, then lobbies paying scientists to save the planet must be good”</I>.

This might have been a good counterpoint, if not for one shaky assumption. Namely, you rely on a presumption that all scientists are either paid by the industry or by the green lobbies. If there indeed were such a dichotomy, then you'd be right.

However, there is a middle ground of scientists who are not paid by either interested party. I would actually expect these to be the majority. And they are not on the side of the industry. In fact, the only ones on the side of the industry in the case of global warming are those organized and directly funded by the industry. This is the proverbial nail in your argument's coffin.

That the road to hell is paved with “good intentions”. According to Hitler, eugenics and ethnic cleansing were something “good” and desirable things.

And according to some, fossil fuels are the best thing ever. :rolleyes: I'm not saying that the green movement never made mistakes and never hurt or even killed anyone. But neither can you say something like that about the various global industries. And while the former is at least driven by good intentions and perhaps willing to learn from past mistakes, the latter is short-sighted, myopic, and driven by nothing but greed and will stop at nothing to attain its goals of total domination and maximum exploitation. The road to hell may be paved with good intentions, but in their absense there is no road: you're in hell to begin with. Besides, the road to hell is not a one-way street; good intentions can lead you out at least as soon as in.

It is my opinion that most of things proposed by the “greens” are good and desirable, but I strongly disagree in the way they propose to achieve those desires, and strongly believe that the use they make of science is biased, when not blatantly fraudulent.

That's a whole different issue. And in fact, I largely agree. Nevertheless, I tend to take the global warming threat seriously, as according to the information I've seen the threat is at least credible if not altogether actual.

And what brought us here, “global warming”, you ... have not given us any scientific proof that a CO2 increase would cause a catastrophic rise in temperature

And you have not given us any scientific proof that a CO2 increase would not cause a rise in temperature, catastrophic or not. Now, "catastrophic" is a loaded word. Nobody is claiming that Earth would turn into a Venus. However, a rise of a few degrees Celcius, while on the surface ho-hum, could have a literally catastrophic effect on the world's economy and societies. Most of the richest and highest-productive land in the world lies along ocean shores, which would be flooded. Nobody knows the effect on atmospheric and ocean currents; it might be beneficial, but then again what if it were detrimental? How about further disruption of the ecosphere, which is groaning under the human ravages as it is?

– temperatures that otherwise were reached during the Medieval Warm Period of 800 – 1250 AD, period that was labeled by climatologists all over the world (before the warming scare racket was initiated) as the <B>Climatic Optimum.</B> The best temperatures possible for all living matter.

Hardly. I won't dispute the medieval warming. I won't dispute long-term climate variations. What we are discussing, however, is not natural: it's man-made. And it's not long-term: it's contemporary, and it's exponential. And as for "best temperatures possible", the reptiles would disagree. The jungles of Jurassic would have put modern rainforests to shame. In the geological long term, life would survive, adapt and thrive regardless of global climate. Question is, what sort of damage to the current human civilization in existence would occur in the geological short term.

Your mention of Venus runaway greenhouse effect is irrelevant, because you did not take into account that Venus’ atmosphere is 90 times denser than Earth’s, making the pressure at the surface in the order of <b>119.70 kg/cm2,</B> (Earth’s is 1.33 kg/m2). Pressure increases temperature, so it is no wonder that Mars temperature are so low, because its atmosphere is extremely thin, although it is also mostly composed of CO2.

But neither is anyone expecting the Earth to warm up by 640 degrees. Divide that by 90, and you get roughly 7. Plus, you alleged (admittedly referencing a somewhat ancient study) that additional CO2 has exponentially less effect, so you can probably take that 7 and multiply it by a few. Of course, nobody is expecting Earth's atmosphere to become 97% CO2, either. So you can reduce that warming estimate. But then again, Venus doesn't have much water vapor or methane or...

Venus is a poster child for greenhouse effect. The only reason I mentioned that planet, is for illustration that the effect is real and that it does lead to global warming and that CO2 can indeed cause it.

Point is, the greenhouse effect on Earth wouldn't be of the same "runaway" variety that is Venus. However, nobody is certain just how the effect will scale. And if it indeed should turn out to have a runaway (or self-amplifying) quality to it, then global warming could come faster and steeper than many expect. Clearly it will level off at some point, as paleoclimatic history indicates. But where is that point? Are we absolutely confident it will not impact us too much? There's plenty of cause for concern.

And governments have been “conspiring” against other countries’ governments –and their people- for being more powerful or getting richer during the whole historical record. A quite human trait, though.

That is indisputable. However, you will note that there has never in the world been a united front. There are always factions, and the factions are always at odds with each other. If a certain block of countries conspired to limit growth of some other countries by witholding resources, then a competing block would funnel their resources to those other countries to take advantage of such an obvious market opportunity. If the dynamics of the world were driven exclusively by self-interest and greed, then the sort of conspiracy you allege would actually be impossible in practice.

What did the CIA do for overthrowing Salvador Allende in Chile, back in 1973? What would you call that? A poker game? What JFK did in 1962 for overthrowing Castro? A beach party? What has Osama bin Laden been doing lately? What most board directors do to oust their CEOs or overtake another company? What many wives did for killing their husbands and cashing their life insurance?

Even these relatively tiny conspiracies are ultimately revealed. What are the odds that first, a global conspiracy would form (against all the frictions and rivalries); second, it would remain in force for decades at a stretch; and finally it would be successfully kept a secret for that long with no whistleblowers with pangs of conscience and/or damning evidence surfacing? Remember that until quite recently, the world was in the grip of a Cold War, with two major camps duking it out on the international arena. If the Western powers worked to degrade the third world, don't you think that would be a prime opportunity for the Communist side to infiltrate and breed revolution? In this sense, any Western conspiracy (at least prior to 1990s) to keep the third world down would have been suicidal.
 
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Sorry, no website included...

U.N.: Freak Weather, Warming Linked
AFP

Aug. 30 — Evidence is growing of a link between global warming and the floods and droughts that devastated parts of Asia and Europe this year, the head of the United Nations' body on climate change said at the Earth Summit Friday.
Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, told journalists there was undeniable proof that the Earth was warming.

Scientists, he said, were striving to determine whether these higher temperatures had already wreaked climate change, including extreme weather events. It was impossible to give a "scientifically robust answer" at the moment, he said.

But, he said, "I think the evidence is becoming stronger that a lot of these extreme events are part of the overall process of climate change."

"(...) There is a fair amount of statistical evidence and there is certainly anecdotal evidence that with the events that you see around the world which are extreme in nature, there is obviously a growing frequency, a growing severity, and I think the indications are that there is a link there."

Ramon Pichs Madruga, a member of the panel that specializes in mitigating the effects of climate change, told AFP that the cyclones hitting the Caribbean were become more frequent and more intense, and there was "evidence and associations" that this was caused by global warming.

In a lengthy report last year that had resounding political repercussions, the IPCC predicted the Earth's mean surface temperature would increase by between 1.4 and 5.8 Celsius (2.5 to 10.4 Fahrenheit) by 2100, compared with 1990 levels.

Sea levels would rise from 8 to 88 centimeters (3.6 to 35 inches), a potential threat to small island states and low-lying areas, it said.

Action to tackle global warming was launched 10 years ago at the first Earth Summit in Rio, which led last year to the Kyoto Protocol, a deal that commits rich industrialized signatories to cutting emissions of fossil-fuel gases.

President George W. Bush walked away from the treaty last year, leaving the ambitious pact almost crippled. American opposition to Kyoto was a key factor in ensuring that global warming and climate change are only minor items at this summit, delegates said.

Attempts to include a brief reference of support for Kyoto in the summit's blueprint for action have triggered fierce rows between the United States and the European Union, the protocol's main backer.

On Thursday, an Austrian research paper released on the sidelines of the summit warned that more than three dozen of the world's poorest countries might lose up to a fifth of their grain-growing capacity by 2080 because of water scarcity caused by warming.

Ironically, the rich world, which has most to blame for the climate change threat, would benefit. Farmers in cold regions in North America and northern Europe would be able to open up lands for crop-growing, according to the study, conducted by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.

Pachauri said that it was vital to start work now to help combat the effects of climate change in poor, vulnerable countries.

Global warming is a complex interplay of the world's seas, atmosphere and land, and it is only in the past decade that scientific tools have emerged that give an accurate idea of the phenomenon. Oil, gas and coal release carbon dioxide when they are burned. The gas acts like an invisible shroud, trapping the sun's heat instead of letting it radiate safely back into space.
 
Well, there's been more than one ice age in the past few million years, could this just be something that happenes every few thousand years? :)
 
Originally posted by Popcorn8636
Well, there's been more than one ice age in the past few million years, could this just be something that happenes every few thousand years? :)

How often it happens is not really the issue (I think I remember someone saying that ice ages average about once every 20000 years). The issues are:

  • How soon will the next catastrophe be?
  • How severe will the next catastrophe be?
  • Can the human race survive the next catastrophe in "good shape"?

The last question is the interesting one. Sure, some of the human race will survive pretty much any global catastrophe (short of global blowup or meltdown) even if it knocks us back to "caveman days". However, wouldn't you rather avoid any coming catastrophe if possible so that your children or grandchildren have a better place to live?
 
that date has to be wrong (at least for big ice ages)

i think its more like 100,000 years
 
Well, maybe so. According to here, there have been 20 ice ages in the last 2 million years. That would average to one every 100000 years.
 
Originally posted by Bambi
Would the greenhouse effect deniers explain the following (and please note the exponential nature of the ongoing increase):

CO2TEMP.GIF


Note that no 10,000 year old ice age can possibly even begin to explain the exponential rise that occurred in the last couple of centuries. Also note the correlation between C02 and average global temperature over the past 160 thousand years. Notice the graph above ends with C02 ppm concentration of under 250. Notice the graph below shows current C02 ppm concentration of ~350 and rising exponentially. Finally, note that in the graph above the total range of variation of C02 concentration is about 100 ppm, corresponding to a temperature range of about 12.5 degrees.

Now, would someone please deny all of the above so that we can breathe a collective sigh of relief and go about our normal daily business of screwing our children over?


what i can see from bambis graphs is-a steep rise at the end of the graph(first graph)yes
but also an equally steep rise at the BEGINNING of that graph(in fact almost identical)

which is 140 to 120 thousand years ago

and unless im badly mistaken at that time world population wasnt as at present,polution wasnt at present etc etc

could the current global warming be-shock,horror- a NATURAL cycle??
 
May be 140,000 years ago the people engaged in too much methane production and caused the global warming and ice age....

Then we started all over....from the caves....
 
Or maybe there was some natural factor at that time that caused it. What was happening at that time in the world?

However, note that the peaks in the first graph for CO2 are around 290ppm and that the peak in the second graph (the more precise one of the current situation) is trending toward 360ppm. Also, note how temperature and CO2 seem related in the two graphs. Could we use this to predict the future? Who knows, but it is a bit worrying to some people.

:eek:
 
CO2 release from automobiles can be controlled better than from power plants unless we want to go 80% nuclear which creates its own set of problems.

First, the developed countries should give tax breaks/credits to people who drive electric or hydrogen based cars. Tax breaks and credits also should go to companies who set up remote working /home working for their employees.

In developing countries, the problem is deforestation for fuel and other purposes.
 
I dont have time to read all the other posts, I just got back in town.. but here is what i believe:

I was flying back into town today, and I was on an evening flight. Mid flight, I saw the most beautiful sunset that i have ever seen. I was going to take a picture, but I realized that photographs are just another human creation. I continued pondering about the growing pollution problems. As night fell upon the skies, I looked down and saw the glimmering lights of what I thought was my city, Houston, but it was a much smaller city more northern. At that moment, I was struck by complete awe and sadness because of the vast amount of pollution that eminated from that small city. It was then that i recalled one night that I stood on a balcony with my freind and he asked me if I ever thought about how many people were on the earth and how I would never know 99.99% of them. I gazed upon the desolate city once more before crying.

Whether or not global warming occurs because of fossil fuel output or by some other factor, why do we as the most powerful living force destroy everything? This question burned in my temples as my teary eyes looked past the small town below me and out into the black sky. The sky was black because the pollutants absorbed the light from the stars. Its not just the fact that humans pollute and crush the earth, the fact that people deny thier effect on nature hurts more. If everyone admitted that we have a pollution problem, atleast we would have a common ground to build a solution on, but even the US government denies global warming as a threat..

AND THEY ARE FIGHTING A FUCKING WAR FOR OIL!!!

Humanity is a disease that plagues nature and all of its inhabitants. We are highly contagious and incurable.
 
Originally posted by Slacker47

Humanity is a disease that plagues nature and all of its inhabitants. We are highly contagious and incurable.

Maybe someday will learn how to give that particular disease to other worlds and, thus, take the pressure off ole' Mother Earth.

;)
 
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